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They project that very important rains could turn around the cereal harvest

They project that very important rains could turn around the cereal harvest

“Very significant” rains in the core region in the coming days could change the wheat scenario, which until last week was the driest in the last 15 yearsaccording to a report from the Rosario Stock Exchange (BCR).

“Finally good news, we are seeing an event that could be very important, we are talking about 20 to 50 millimeters, and there may even be much more water”said Cristian Russo, head of the Strategic Guide for Agriculture (GEA) of the BCR.

According to Russo, “it is an event that would have very important coverage, which would reach not only the core region, but all of Buenos Aires, center-south of Santa Fe and even Córdoba.”

It is an event that can change the wheat scenario; there is a fierce drought that has been dragging on since the summer, which in the fall we thought could be reversed but April left us with only 30% of the water we were expecting and there the fears appeared again and, against all hope, it was very difficult to expect this at the end of May,” explained the specialist.

According to Russo, it is a “strange” event due to the magnitude of the rainfall, since “it is not normal to expect so much water when we are entering winter.” In this way, he insisted: “It would be an event that could change the wheat scenario, not only in the core region, but in a good part of the Pampas region, so we have a lot of perspective to see what finally happens between Wednesday and Thursday, which is when the accumulated majors”.

Until last week, the BCR report indicated that wheat planting intentions showed a 50% drop compared to last year. In wheat, the entity recalled, the minimum required to sow is 60% of useful water in the soil; and the technicians recommended that at least 50% be available.

If the forecasted rains for this week materialize, that minimum could be reached in three quarters of the core regionthe report highlighted.

“Between Wednesday the 24th and Thursday the 25th, the forecasts point to an event that would leave 15 to 50 mm, perhaps more, in the area most affected by the great drought in Argentina,” the BCR said.

In its document, the entity stated that May can say goodbye with rains that will reach “to cover 60 to 70% of the pampean region (Buenos Aires, south and center of Santa Fe) and there are even possibilities that the rains reach the south and center of Córdoba”.

On the other hand, in the north and center of Buenos Aires, the dry scenario could also be reversed; And, as in the core region, if the rainy event of the next few days materializes, the adequate conditions for wheat planting will be reached.

In this sense, the consultant Alfredo Elorriagaexpressed that “the strip of Buenos Aires and Santa Fe would be the most benefited; the water could even reach Córdoba. We must follow the dynamics of the next few hours.”

He added: “While it is true that we were expecting more water than what was finally recorded last weekend, the upcoming event is very strong in the predictive numerical models.”

If April had met the average of 120 millimeters of rain and May accompanied by forecasts of storms, it would be a projection of a record sowing, with almost two million hectares as the intention for the 2023/24 cycle.

Source: Ambito

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