The dollar soared in Brazil and the Bovespa sank days before the presidential ballotage

The dollar soared in Brazil and the Bovespa sank days before the presidential ballotage

In the midst of the dispute between Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva and Jair Bolsonaro, weighed in the market the shooting attack on federal police officers by former congressman Roberto Jefferson, a supporter of the president.

In the foreign exchange market, the real sank 2.5% to 5.3012 per dollar.

For its part, the Bovespa index fell 3.3% to 116,016.3 points, the largest daily percentage decline since November 26, 2021. The financial volume of the session amounted to 28.8 billion reais.

Shares in state-owned companies such as Banco do Brasil and Petrobras plunged between 9% and 10%.

The weekend episode destabilized the euphoria that Bolsonaro would reverse on Sunday the loss he suffered to Lula in the first round, a bet that helped the Bovespa rise 7% last week.

According to the treasury director of Travelex Bank, Marcos Weigt, “China and the Robert Jefferson issue” weigh on the movement of the dollar against the real this morning. China it announced growth of 3.9% year-on-year, down from 0.4% the previous quarter, but it was still among the slowest expansions in decades as the country struggled with repeated city lockdowns to combat coronavirus outbreaks. In this sense, Chinese retail sales slowed down.

Another point of attention in the country is the re-election of Xi Jinping, concentrating even more power, causing a movement of risk aversion in some sectors of the Asian market. The yuan and the oil posted a negative move as investors weigh the impacts of the Chinese Communist Party meeting on the country’s stance, just as Chinese stocks closed lower.

Meanwhile, in the domestic arena, former deputy and ally of President Jair Bolsonaro (PL), Roberto Jefferson (PTB) was ordered into preventive detention after violating the precautionary measures of his house arrest, resisted and opened fire on federal police officers.

“The analysis is that the Roberto Jefferson episode causes wear and tear on the Bolsonaro campaign,” says Fernando Bergallo, director of FB Capital. “Furthermore, in this last week of the campaign, we will have much more TV time for Lula, due to the TSE’s decisions on the response request,” he adds.

Even at the local level, The Focus Report of the Central Bank (BC), showed that the median of the estimates for the dollar at the end of this year remained at R$5.20. For 2023, the median of the estimates for the US currency also stopped at R$ 5.20 from one week to the next. By 2024, it went from BRL 5.10 to BRL 5.11.

Source: Ambito

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