Concessionaires already project to sell more than 50,000 0km per month

In fact, that figure was officially informed by the Concessionaire Association (ACARA)on March 31, but with the statistical correction that is made the next day (operations that did not computed due to technical issues), the volume grew in a few hundred, only in cars more light commercial vehicles. This led the daily average to 2,530 vehicles.

The calculation they are doing in some concessionaires is that, with that rhythm, with 19 business days of April (it has a day more than March), the month could exceed 48,000. To this number we must add the segment of heavy vehicles, about 5% more.

In this way, in the sector they believe that this month can be above 50,000 units. It would be so, the best April since 2018, when 76,554 0km were patented. Well above 37,257 of 2019.

If not to exceed 50,000 units, the operators of the automotive market say that in May – except some “black swan” – that goal will be fulfilled, since next month it has one more business day. Reaches 20

Beyond this statistical game, which reveals the possibility of breaking that 50,000 units roof is the sustained demand in the market. But it can also mark an important record: it can be converted, taking last January – that by seasonality, like all the energies, it was higher – in the best period in 64 months.

You have to go back to another January – 2019 – to find another higher month. Also in this case, seasonality played in favor. But April, at this rate, would be above the records of January from 2020 to 2024 and, obviously, to the rest of the months.

The growth of operations has been giving different factors. Financed sales play an important role. Credit operations have been growing at a good pace.

The other point is the largest supply of vehicles. The increase in imports and the largest variety of model causes themselves to be completed postponed operations.

This greater offer of force that there are discounts on list prices and the consumer will be encouraged to buy in this incipient “pricing war. Keep in mind that the price drop in a market segment to which the “luxury” tax presses the lowest segments models to increase less and have to reduce the transaction price.

And it is also possible that, in recent days, the “Blue” dollar is helping a bit, which always functions as a stimulus.

This estimate does not take into account what is happening in the markets as a result of the commercial “war” Donald Trump.

Local, what is seen is a Raise of financial dollars such as “Blue”. While this is not good for the economy, for demand in the automotive market you can play in favor, since the more the exchange gap increases, the more incentive there is to acquire vehicles set to the official contribution.

If there is a plan of demand, possibly, the factories and concessionaires decide to reduce the incentives that are being offered.

With all these variables, the automotive market is growing and that is why factories and importers are increasing their sales projections by 2025.