Labor market
According to the study, skilled workers will grow rapidly
Many employees retire, there are too few younger people. In some professions in particular, the situation on the labor market could be significantly exacerbated, as a study shows.
Educators, social workers, nurses and sellers are missing nationwide – as well as specialist staff in other professions. According to a study by the employer -related institute of the German Economy (IW), these skilled skilled workers will increase significantly in the coming years. In 2028, 768,000 jobs could not be filled with sufficiently qualified specialists. In 2024 there were an average of 487,000.
“The main reason is demographic change. Many people will retire in the next few years,” says study author Jurek Tiedemann. “If we do not manage to cushion the defect, this will be noticeable for even more people in everyday life.” If daycare and nursing places were missing, employees could not increase their working hours because they would have to take care of children and relatives.
Based on the data from 2023 and the trends of the past few years, the study authors have examined how the labor market situation develops in 1,300 professions. The biggest bottlenecks threaten sellers. The skilled worker there could grow from more than 12,900 to 40,470. Too few young people decided on training in sales, says Tiedemann.
In second place, child teachers follow with around 30,800 jobs that cannot be filled. Behind it are social work and pedagogy with more than 21,150 as well as health and nursing with a good 21,350.
Strong increase in the number of employees in IT professions
The experts have also examined the professions in which the number of employees could increase and decrease the most. The greatest growth is in children’s education. By 2028, almost 143,400 jobs will probably be filled with appropriate staff. According to the authors, however, this will not be enough to meet the need. There will also be a significant increase in IT professions. The reason for this is digitization.
The IW expects the greatest decline in metal professions. There, the number of trained specialists could decrease by almost 161,200 jobs by 2028. Many employees divide from their professional life and too little offspring. An extraordinarily large shrinkage is also predicted by trained bank clerks. The number of employees drops around 56,300. “Banking is automated. Diliacs are closed and switches are increasingly rarer. That is why fewer staff is needed,” says Tiedemann.
The experts advise to expand professional orientation in schools, increase incentives for longer employment and to make qualified immigration easier.
dpa
Source: Stern
