Such a scenario is good for the Government of Alberto Fernández, which is urgently required to add international reserves to the Central Bank based on the agreement with the International Monetary Fund (IMF). Essentially, the field promises a record liquidation of exports this year as a result of high international prices.
For this it is essential to try to understand the movements of the Federal Reserve, which is committed to bringing the rate to the levels necessary to lower US inflation.
“After several months of continual recalibration in expectations, US interest rates seem to have found some stability, at least for now,” highlighted the report.
The same indicated that “the slope of the yield curve in the United States is typically used as a previous indicator of recession” and argued that the lower global dynamism “as a result of the restrictions in China and the adjustment in the monetary policy of several countries was fueling concerns about a potential recession.
“The tighter monetary policy by the Federal Reserve and the adjustment in financial conditions, together with less dynamism in economic activity, were increasing fears regarding a potential recession in the United States, and with that affecting prices. of the assets,” said Balanz.
However, the administrator maintains that “traditionally, recessions in the United States were preceded, to a large extent, by the monetary adjustment of the Fed” and added that “however, these came once the adjustment cycle was over and not during it “.
“The war in Ukraine remains a factor of uncertainty and the worst of the slowdown in China should be behind us, so looking ahead we think the main catalyst for equities will come from inflation” finished the job.
Source: Ambito
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