In addition to the fuel item, which rose 9.6%, during the past month the increases in “other operating costs” (22%), “general expenses” (20%) and “financial cost” (15.2%) stood out. . The lack of diesel supply, meanwhile, is an extra complication for the sector and can also have repercussions, due to inconveniences in the availability of stockin prices.
These increases are reflected, almost directly, in gondola prices. “Freight transport increases are immediately passed through to inflation. When these rises occur, those who make the price lists, transfer it. When the different products are distributed, you have to incorporate it, ”he pointed out to Ambit Damián Di Pace, director of Focus Market.
“It is worrying because greater increases in fuel are foreseeable for the coming monthsat a time when in order to get a tank filled by cargo truck it is necessary to validate a price up to 50% higher than the one that appears on various boards at service stations in the interior of the country”, added the analyst.
“Furthermore, it is being seen that the lack of diesel It is a complementary problem to the current cost structure: a stopped truck means that there is an input or raw material that is not delivered. Or an industrial product that is not arriving. That makes the continuous work of a production process difficult. There Inconveniences can be generated in terms of stock and that generates a price evolution in that category”, remarked Di Pace, who added: “Thus, the problem is quite serious, because it affects the value chain of different sectors of the economy. Today the primary sector, the regional economies, are very affected”.
In relation to projected inflation for the coming months, Di Pace said: “In a context where relative prices in the economy are corrected, such as the official exchange rate and public utility rates, Freight transport, with all these complexities, will be one more element that will add pressure to price variations in those sectors that have delayed deliveries or have had to incorporate a higher cost in their production and marketing process”.
June inflation
Both the REM and some private consultants estimate that May inflation was around 5.2%. And, according to the first projections, in June the rise in the CPI will not slow down too much.
“Inflation in June would be above 5% againwhere the expected increase in public service rates will impact along with other regulated prices (such as prepaid), together with the wage driver, which remains on after joint negotiations”, they pointed out from Ecolatina, and added: “In this way, the inflation of the second quarter would close slightly above the accumulated rise of the first three months (which was 16.1%)”.
“In this way, the evolution of the first semester leaves a high floor for the year: we estimate that inflation will close around 70% year-on-year in 2022, even projecting a slight slowdown in prices for the last six months of the year”, they concluded from the signature.
Source: Ambito
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