“In both cases, considered individually, it is about ‘zero sum games’, that is to say that in the primary distribution everything that the provinces gain from participation will be resigned to the federal level (and vice versa), and in the case of the distribution secondary, the increase in the participation of a jurisdiction can only occur if the portion that takes the rest falls, ”he explained.
Initially, Law 23,548 established that the total co-participating resources be distributed in 42.34% for the Nation, 56.66% for provinces and 1% for a National Treasury Contribution Fund (ATN) whose destination was to attend emergency situations and financial imbalances of the provincial governments. In any case, the report highlights how the provinces were losing primary participation during the 1990s. From 2003 to 2015 there was a stabilization of the participation of the Provinces and CABA on the taxes collected at the national level at around 40%. , a situation that changed in 2016 due to the restitution to Santa Fe, San Luis and Córdoba and due to the increase in the coefficient for CABA decreed by Mauricio Macri, which raised it from 1.4% to 3.75% and after the Fiscal Consensus in 2018 it was left at 3.5%.
At the end of 2020, the Government of Alberto Fernández put it back at 1.4%, but the recent ruling of the Court forces it to be 2.95% this year. “CABA receives its co-participation of funds from the National Government, so this increase in its distribution coefficient is an increase in funds for all the Provinces and CABA. It is for this reason that in 2023 it is expected that the effective participation of automatic transfers to Provinces and CABA as a percentage of total national collection (without social security and foreign trade) will increase by 1.4 percentage points compared to that of 2022. and reach the maximum of the last 30 years, since it slightly exceeds the participation of the year 2020, ”explained the study.
Now, how did the effective primary coefficient of each jurisdiction evolve with respect to the base year (1993)? The report concludes that only ten of the twenty-four jurisdictions have increased their effective primary ratio in recent years relative to the base year. CABA was the one that presented the highest growth (548% compared to the base year), followed in the ranking by the provinces of Chaco (13%), Tierra del Fuego (10%), Santa Fe (8%) and Córdoba (8% ). It is also observed that Catamarca and Misiones are in a situation similar to that of the base year.
On the other hand, the provinces that saw their effective primary coefficient decrease compared to 1993 were: Chubut (20%), Neuquén (13%), Santa Cruz (13%), San Luis (7%), La Pampa (5% ), Rio Negro (4%), La Rioja (4%), Buenos Aires (2%), Mendoza (2%) and Jujuy (1%).
Distribution
effective secondary
“A jurisdiction that drastically increased its secondary participation in 2016 was CABA, which saw its percentage of effective secondary distribution increase by more than 3 percentage points (from 1.9% to 5%)” due to the rise in its primary coefficient of 1, 4% to 3.75% and then to 3.5% of matching funds, the study explained.
By including the estimates of the funds automatically sent by the Nation for the year 2023, CABA, as a consequence of the precautionary measure ordered by the Supreme Court at the end of 2022, in the year 2023 would again increase its secondary coefficient to levels prior to 2021 ( when it fell after the Fernández decree).
“Buenos Aires and CABA were the big winners in the cast during the last eight years. This recovery obviously led to a decrease in the secondary participation of the other jurisdictions. While 22 jurisdictions would have a percentage participation reduction, CABA and Buenos Aires would increase it,” the study detailed.
“CABA would see its effective percentage increase by 128.8% between 2015 and 2023, since it would go from 1.9% in 2015 to 4.4% this year, 2023. Buenos Aires would register an increase in its effective percentage of 19 .7%, since it would go from 18.7% in 2015 to 22.4% this year in 2023. More proportional money for Buenos Aires and the CABA allowed these jurisdictions to increase their participation in the cake that means the funds sent to the Provinces and CABA, with the percentage participation of the rest falling. Of the 22 remaining jurisdictions, all with a drop in their percentage participation, Santa Cruz, Chubut, Neuquén and San Luis stand out, with a drop of between 9% and 10%,” the report concluded.
Source: Ambito
