Consultancy estimates
The Consultant Focus Market estimates that the figure will be at 3.4%: “The implementation of the Freeze was not reflected in a general deceleration of prices in the gondolas of the large chains until last October 20 where there were still several products on the list of the Resolution 1050 without being able to fill in because the products were discontinued from the production process or because the price was outdated when the measure was published. Until before the Freeze, the level of compliance with the careful prices program was 97% in this type of point of sale ” said Damián Di Pace Director of the Consultant.
LCG Consultant estimated inflation of 3.2% average in four weeks of October. However, they warned that in the fourth week, with 1,400 products in the basket already frozen, “the rise in food prices averaged a fall of 0.29%, slowing down 2.pp compared to the previous week.”
Consultant C&T forecasts inflation of 3.6%: “The month had started with a greater variation but it was losing some momentum, especially in the second half of the month as a result of the price freeze decreed by the national government, which was seen especially reflected in food and beverages. “
CESS estimates inflation of 2.6%: for the consulting firm that reports every week, there was a variation of 0.3% in the week between Monday, October 25 and November 1. Thus, the accumulated increase for the tenth month of the year was 1.9% compared to four weeks ago. But if the INDEC methodology is replicated, the average prices for October remain at 2.6% versus average prices for September. For economists, the price freeze and the impact of CyberMonday in the household appliances sector influenced the reduction of some products. Food continues to be the item that increases the most (1.9% average).
Orlando Ferreres & Asociados coincided with the CESO projection: “According to the CPI-OJF (GBA), inflation in October was 2.5% per month and registered a year-on-year growth of 46.9%. On the other hand, core inflation advanced to a monthly rate of 2.9%, marking an annual increase of 47.7%. Accumulated headline inflation was 37.8% “.
Finally, the Consultora Seido, estimated an October inflation of 4.1%: “Monthly inflation was 4.1%, above the September impression of 3.5%. Core inflation was 4.3% month-on-month, higher than the previous 3.3% month-on-month , and seasonal prices increased 5% month-on-month, “said the consultancy. At the same time, it warns that the escalation decreased in the last week of October as a result of the price freeze: “prices increased 0.1, the lowest variation in 13 weeks.” “Core inflation was 3.1% month-on-month, the same as the previous two months, and seasonal prices increased 2.4%,” they added.
Source From: Ambito
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