The January data from INDEC will be known, what does the market expect?

The January data from INDEC will be known, what does the market expect?

February 13, 2024 – 16:05

The Government will release the inflation data for January and after the 25.5% jump in December, driven by the 54% devaluation, the market made its forecasts for the Consumer Price Index (CPI). This is the expectation.

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The National Institute of Statistics and Censuses (INDEC) will release the inflation data for January this Wednesday, February 14 and, after the jump that took that index to 25.5% in December, driven mainly by the 54% devaluationthe forecasts for January indicate that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) would be around 20%.

Some consulting firms estimate that the figure will be between 19% and 20%, while others place it in the range of between 20% and 22%.. The coincidence found in all cases is to point out that it will continue to be high, but somewhat attenuated compared to December’s data.

Inflation: what the most optimistic projections say

For example, the C&T consultancy, by Camilo Tiscornia and María Castiglioni, projected a price increase for the first month of this year 19.6% and they pointed out that there is a “deceleration that began the last week of December and continued throughout the month of January”. In turn, they pointed out that in twelve months the increase was 242.2%, marking a strong increase in line with what was expected.

In a similar vein, from Freedom and Progress Foundation They predicted that the CPI will be 19.4%.

Many expect a data more similar to the December CPI

Meanwhile, in Eco Go, led by Marina Dal Poggetto, They expect that last month’s inflation revealed by the INDEC will be around 21.2%.

For its part, from the consulting firm Analytica, run by Ricardo Delgado, predicted that January inflation was around 22%.

Source: Ambito

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