The level of economic uncertainty from the first days of the government of Javier Milei is similar to the one in July 2022, when Martín Guzmán had to leave the Ministry of Economy, in the middle of a tough internal battle with the hard wing of the Frente de Todos. This is indicated by an investigation of the Argentine Catholic University (UCA).
This is an indicator that represents the amount of negative concepts per 10,000 words uttered through social networks, more specifically, the YouTube platform. For this work, it was used Artificial intelligence.
“The index value in January was 68.2. That is, on average, for every 10,000 words in economic messages, 68.2 words linked to uncertainty were detected,” the report says.
He himself maintains that “the last measurement indicates a level very close to that observed in December and confirms the decrease with respect to the extreme values observed during the election period (August-November 2023).”
On the other hand, it states that “the value of the index for January is 24% lower than the historical record of the series observed in November 2023, the month of the second round of the presidential election.” –
“In any case, the measurement from the last month indicates very high levels of uncertainty. For example, The value is very similar to that observed in July 2022, immediately after the departure of Martín Guzmán from the Ministry of Economy”indicates the report.
What are the topics mentioned on the networks?
The UCA report specifies that “Economic instability is the main source of manifestations of uncertainty.” “More specifically, we identified in this category mentions of: inflation and dollar. Together, these two aspects represent 32% of the messages,” the work says.
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On the other hand, it is detailed that “the discussions related “with politics and corruption they contributed 27%” Although the index is focused on detecting economic discussions, it is highlighted that political discussions also contribute to creating a climate of instability.
“Further down the ranking, we find discussions related to work and poverty. These themes are identified, respectively, in 18% and 17% of the messages,” the work maintains.
Source: Ambito
