The economy stopped rebounding in October and posted the first monthly decline since May

The economy stopped rebounding in October and posted the first monthly decline since May

In the year-on-year comparison, the economy rose 6.7% (vs. + 11.4% year-on-year in September), the most limited positive variation since last March.

Economic activity accumulates, in any case, a growth of 10.4% year-on-year so far this year, and exceeded for the fourth consecutive month the precovid level of February 2020 (+ 2.1%).

For its part, the trend-cycle series registered a monthly increase of 0.2% and accumulated 13 months on the rise.

In October 11 of the 15 productive sectors that make up the EMAE grew year-on-year, with double-digit increases in 5 of them: Hotels and restaurants (+ 61.0% year-on-year; contribution 0.5 percentage points -pp-), Mines and quarries (+ 17.7% year-on-year, maximum variation since the beginning of the series; contribution 0.5 pp), Transportation and communications (+ 11.9% year-on-year; contribution 0.8 pp), Public Administration (+ 11.7% year-on-year; contribution 0.6 pp) and Other service activities (+ 10.0% year-on-year; contribution 0.2 pp). The largest contribution corresponds to Industry (+ 4.9% year-on-year; contribution 0.9 pp).

They also grew the Commerce (+ 4.2% year-on-year; contribution 0.6 pp) and Construction (+ 6.9% year-on-year, contribution 0.2 pp). These last three sectors accumulate 12 consecutive increases, and together with Taxes (+ 8.9% year-on-year, contribution 1.5 pp) they explain 47% of the increase in the EMAE.

Compared to October 2019, 9 out of 15 sectors grew. The biggest rise was in Commerce (+ 3.3%), followed by Construction, Real estate activities and Mines and quarries (+ 3.2%). But Fishing (-32.6% year-on-year), Agriculture (-1.6% year-on-year), Financial intermediation (-1.2% year-on-year) and EGA (-1.0% year-on-year) fell, which together subtract 0.3 pp to the growth of the EMAE.

Source From: Ambito

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