It is worth remembering that this phenomenon has been occurring over the last few months, starting with an inflation of 25.5% in December and gradually decreasing as the year progressed: 20.6% in January, 13.2% in February , 11% in March and 8.8% in April. This pattern of slowdown suggests a stabilization on the inflation front, which could have significant implications for the economy in general and for the purchasing power of citizens in particular. although there are some doubts about whether it will extend or be sustained over time.
Inflation projections for May
As anticipated Ambitand as for the estimated projections for May, the main one is that of Survey of Market Expectations (REM), which is executed by the Central Bank based on estimates from the most recognized private consulting firms, calculated that inflation in the fifth month reached 5.2% and projected a price increase of 146.4% for the year, about 15 points below what was forecast last month.
Inflation estimates as of May 2025 are at levels of 72.3% annually for the average of consulting firms that report to the Central Bank. However, the top 10 consultants with the highest number of correct answers estimate that inflation would be 69.3% annually.
It is worth remembering that the thermometer of price dynamics already showed a clear sign of low inflation, since last week the cost of living data for the City of Buenos Aires was known, which stood at 4.4%.
In this way, private measurements of inflation for May are between 4.3% and 5%. For example, the CPI of the Freedom and Progress Foundation showed an increase of 4.3% in May, and the interannual variation reached 276.9%, showing the first deceleration in 10 months. For its part, Orlando J. Ferreres calculated a CPI of 4.6% for the fifth month of the year and 279.7% year-on-year, which would imply a drop of 10 points compared to April in this last indicator.
From the consulting firm Marina Dal Pogetto, EcoGo, They indicated that inflation in May would be 4.8% monthly. In this way, it would be the best monthly data in more than two years, since January 2022 (3.8%). EconviewsMiguel Kiguel’s consulting firm, concluded 4.7% inflation for May.
The consultant C&Tmeanwhile, revealed that in May there was a price increase for Greater Buenos Aires of 4.6%, the lowest since April 2022. For its part, FIEL did not release the data, but noted that the drop is notable. inflation in these months, although they do not consider that said deceleration will extend.
Source: Ambito
