Historically, Democrats have had an advantage in the popular vote, even losing in the Electoral collegebut Harris’ campaign hoped to make stronger margins in swing states like Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. However, the latest figures indicate a electorate that remains deeply divided.
The head-to-head battle between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris, in the polls
In the last three months, Harris and Trump have remained at a stalemate despite important national events. Harris had a slight lead in early October, with 49% compared to Trump’s 46%which was not maintained until now.
Even within the margin of error, the general trend of national polls shows a race increasingly tight as the election date approaches. The surveys in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin indicate an equally close contest.
Both campaigns see this latest national survey as a challenge and a hope, depending on the topic in question.
Immigration, Trump’s forte
For trumpthe immigration has emerged as a key theme among voters, with 15% identifying it as their main concern. Trump pointed to the history of Biden administration on the topic and He promised “the largest deportation in American history” as part of his closing campaign message.
This approach by Trump seems effective, with voters who trust him over Harris, by an 11-point margin. Voter pessimism about the direction of the country is another concern for Harris’ campaigngiven that Only 28% believe that the US is on the right track.
The economy and abortion, the point for Harris
Among the areas where Harris is winning, he managed to close the gap in economy, voters’ top priority. In this case, Trump’s previous 13-point lead was reduced to six.
Your position on access to abortionas the main theme of his campaign, resonates with a 16-point lead among votersabout Trump. This approach could prove influential in your search for greater support among women.
Additionally, Harris has more room to expand her base. While 15% of voters remain undecided, she currently leads within this group, 42% to 32%.
Polls anticipate a technical tie
In the last few days, The vice president went in search of the vote of the moderate Republicans of the “rust belt”, a region of the Northeast and Midwest of the United States that was affected by a process of industrial decline starting in the 1970s. For its part, Trump went for the undecided in areas devastated by Hurricane Helene in North Carolina.
Source: Ambito
