Acceleration largely responds to increases in fresh products– Tomato prices soared – affected by seasonal and climatic issues, the reformulation of careful prices (they had increases of 2% on average this month), the rise in the dollar, among others.
In this point, Ricardo Delgado of the consultant Analytica also estimates a 5% increase in food and the general index of January at 4%.
Added to the rise in food this month is the update of the prepaid medicine service (9%), the adjustments in tolls, fixed telephony, internet, television and metered parking.
Dispersion
What is also striking is the dispersion of the values. In the last twelve months, food prices have risen an average of 58%, according to the consulting firm that he directs. Marina Dal Poggetto, led by the beef – 75.1% – and vegetables – 73.4%-. At the other end fruits rose “only” 39.5% and dairy products and eggs 38.8%.
So much for Ecolatina What for Orlando Ferreres & Associates the index in January would stand at 3.5%. But among the economists consulted it is manifested concern about the progress of core inflation (which excludes goods with seasonal behavior or regulated products and services). For the consulting firm he founded Roberto Lavagna stands at 3.6% and for Analytica more than 4%.
It should be remembered that in December inflation core the core recorded a rise of 4.4%. In this way, the year ended with an increase of 55%, four points above the total index and at an average monthly rate of 3.7%. .
For other studies, general inflation may be higher. The data from Equilibra show a variation that is close to 4%, while Econometrica, the consulting firm headed by Ramiro Castiñeira, calculates 4%.
Regarding the immediate perspectives, it is pointed out that factors such as the acceleration in the adjustment of the official dollar and the announced increase in rates will continue to put a “high” floor on the index. According to the latest Survey of Market Expectations (REM) published by the Central Bank, the consultants foresee that inflation would be between 3.5 and 4% in the first half of the year.
Source From: Ambito
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