The Economic activityaccording to Indec, 5.7% year -on -year and 0.8% rose in February compared to January. There are analysts who celebrate positive data and ensure that the economy faces a recovery process. However, according to a private consultant, the data corresponding to March are less encouraging.
According to the LCG consultantwhose executive director is Javier Okseniukeconomic activity may have suffered some deceleration last month, possibly affected by a scenario of “greater uncertainty” From increasing expectations on a modification of the exchange regime, which were confirmed with the release of restrictions in mid -April.
Specifically, explains the last LCG report, in March a Fall in collection associated with internal taxes such as VAT and credits and debit; and the Imports of consumer goods retreated 9.3% In unstacted terms, interrupting a three -month rise run.
In turn, Consumer confidence showed a significant decline (the most pronounced since September 2024); Sales of durable goods deepened their fall; and the indicators linked to industrial production also show positive signals.
With the information available at the time, the consultant concludes that a brake of the activity is expected in March “With a certain drag to April “. “For now, we project a weak and somewhat more erratic growth path, subject to the impact of pending relative price rearrangement, and concentrated in few sectors,” says LCG.
For the whole year 2025, it estimates a growth around 5%, leveraged in a drag of 3.6 percentage points. Punta to end, project a growth of 3% per year.
In March the consumption of basic foods fell
For its part, the recovery of mass consumption does not yet exhibit positive results at the year -on -year level. According to the consultant Nielsen IQ, consumption recorded in March a slight fall of 0.3% compared to the same month of the previous year, which reflects “Moderation signals in household purchase decisions”
The contraction was mainly explained by the decline in the beverage channel, which retreated 2.7% in the interannual comparison. Within the segment, the 10% drop in the sales of alcoholic beverages was highlighted, while non -alcoholic beverages showed a slight improvement of 0.5%, which partially mitigated the negative trend of the set.
In contrast, the food item presented barely positive performance, with a variation of +0.5%compared to March 2024. Growth was mainly driven by non -basic foods, which rose 1.9%, and sweets, with an increase of 2.2%. However, The basic food category showed a 4.5%drop.
Among the segments that achieved a better performance, was the personal care and cleaning, with a rise of 4.1%. Within the item, the cosmetics and the dressing table registered an advance of 3.8%, while the home cleaning products and clothing increased 4.9%.
More industrialists reject the importation of used machinery
After the importation of importation of used goods, Adimrarepresentative chamber of the metallurgical sector, He spoke against special concern for this measure.
To criticism is added Pro weaving Foundationwho expressed his “firm support” to the local machinery and equipment industry“Faced with the consequences that will imply the recent changes in the import regime of used goods, both for consumers and for the national productive framework.”
The measure, formalized by decree 273/2025, eliminates the obligation to present the certificate of importation of used goods (CIB) and significantly reduces the technical and security controls required for the entry of machinery used to the country.
“This decision enables unfair competition for the national industry, which produces under technical standards, compliance with labor regulations and a high tax burden, while the imported machinery used may enter without traceability control or minimal safety requirements, ”Foundation alerts Pro Tejer Foundation.
Likewise, the entity ensures that it is going to the process of technological modernization required by the Argentine industry to be competitive globally, “leaving the country exposed to the incorporation of obsolete or discarding technology from other origins.”
“This measure It should be reviewed and replaced by a policy that drives a modern, sustainable and competitive industrythat takes care of the productive capacities built over decades and industrial employment as the engine of development, ”concludes the statement.
Source: Ambito
