wholesale prices stabilize and go down in some cases, will it reach the counters?

wholesale prices stabilize and go down in some cases, will it reach the counters?

With one lower offer and one decrease in demandthe meat pricesat the level retailmore than 22% rose in the first quarter of the year. Despite this leap, in the last 15 days it began to show that, in the wholesale sales, prices began to “stabilize” and, in some cases until. That is why, many begin to wonder if this situation will move to the gondolas and butchers.

According to him Agroganadero marketwhat is the main street cattle marketing center in the countryduring the last 15 days a tendency of lateralization was evidenced or, in some cases, in the prices of the wholesale meat. Thus, in the case of steer The price per kilo in the middle of the month was about $ 3,000, while between April 23 and 25 it was level closer to $ 2,500, and then accelerate slightly during this day.

Regarding the wholesale sale of Crunchyat the beginning of this last fortnight prices were remained slightly above $ 3,000, although they are on their way to close below that brand. In the case of the average price of the kilo of the Vaquillonasthe downward trend is clearer: on April 15 the price was at $ 3,100 and now close to $ 2,700. And finally in the case of cattleat the beginning of fortnight the price was at $ 1,600 and closes April below $ 1,600.

Meat: “rearrangement” in prices

In talk with Scope, Leonardo RafaelPresident of the Matarifes and suppliers chamberhe said that “More than a setback there is a rearrangement in prices”, And that this is because there is a greater amount of offerafter registering a long period with very low offers. “We have a market supplied but because of the little sale, different prices begin to be marked, which differ more than anything in qualities“He said.

However, the expert does not believe that “These prices are reflected in the counter”because businesses have expenses that grew much more than what the raw material did, some of which are Inputs, services, and salaries. “What can be seen because of the little demand and low sales in the butchers is that, for example, There may be 2kg offers for a discount price To move some merchandise that is parking and has no way out, “Rafael exemplified.

The latest available data of the Chamber of Industry and Commerce of Meat and Derivatives of the Argentine Republic (Ciccra) are from Marchbut give an account of the Lower raw material production, at least in the first three months of the year. In March 2025 the fridge industry Vaccine Faenó 1,024 million heads, while in the first quarter of the year a total of 353 establishments slaughtered 3,203 million heads of vaccine farm.

This represents, in interannual terms, that Sector activity experienced a 2.4%drop. In addition, during the first quarter of the year, the production of vaccine meat was equivalent to 735 thousand tn r/c/h, located 1.8% below the level produced in the same quarter of last year.

Meat: What happened for 2025 with retail prices?

According to a report from Creebbaunlike 2024, this year there was a Strong increase In meat prices. According to their own measurements, The kilo of meat that was worth $ 8,857 in December, it cost $ 10,816 in March. In this way, so far this year, The price increase reached 22.1%, and far exceeded accumulated inflation during that period (7.8%).

If analyzed month per month, in the reports of C&T ASSOCIATES It is evidenced as, after the various reports of the IPC of the INDECthe meat It had a strong incidence. In Januarywhich came from increasing 8.8% in December went to do it between 2% and 6%, according to the region. In February, meanwhile, The increase in this product had a key role in the dynamics of the month: it rose between 7% and 10%, according to the area.

And finally, in Marchthere was a new acceleration of various foods, not seasonal and, among them the meatwith an increase close to 7% in various regions, although also The dairy products were relevant in several regions.

As for what may come, on the offer of the offer, according to USDAin October 2025, 3,175 million tons would be reached. “With an increase in supply, the price level could be stabilized in post to match the results of 2024”, They added from Creebba.

However, from this same consultant, they warned that The current level of consumption does not assert a recovery of the upward trend in the coming monthsbecause with the still reduced offer of livestock it could generate tensions in the market.

Source: Ambito

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