The criticisms of economists to the measures announced by Luis Caputo
The economist Carlos Melconian He questioned the effectiveness of the measure by pointing out that it does not substantially modify the situation of savers or implies a deep turn in economic policy. “The Canuto is Canuto. I have a dog and if you tell me that today I can buy a motorcycle, my dog is still my dog ”graphic. According to your vision, the informal use of dollars was already a extended practice, So the new scheme The background behavior of the Argentines does not change.
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For Melconian Caputo’s ads “do not mark a before and after.”
In addition, he warned that this type of advertisements “Do not mark a before and after ” and criticized the lack of a strategic course. “You have to do things inside a program, where first you go to one thing and then go to the other,” he said.
While it was not against a gradualist approach, Melconian was hard with the way in which the ruling communicates its policies: “I do not disgust the proof and error process, because life is. What I say is: they do not lead me to put a topic of the agenda and agenda and All monkeys dance around that”
For his part, Salvador Di Stéfano – known how “The Guru of the Dollar Blue” -, another analyst with experience in the sector, criticized the recent ark resolution that sets in $ 50 million the threshold to inform bank operations and accreditations. “That is wrong, because an important car is worth $ 80 thousand below.
“To the middle class that you want to buy a truck to distribute the products of the greengrocer that has $ 70 thousand. We are late again, the top should be higher,” he said.
On the new scheme, he was bluntly with his recommendation: “Now we need the Criminal Exchange Law and the Tax Law so that when this money appears at the end of the year in heritage They do not charge you 35% profits on that amount“
Finally, Di Stéfano added that the Government has “to make the law” since the changes are not something that work “immediately.” Finally, he concluded: “I recommend not carrying anything until the two laws are. The press conference applauds it, it is wonderful, but the money takes it when the law is.”
For its part, the financial analyst, Christian Buter described the measures have a “Smoked taste.” He considered that, despite the expectation generated, last Thursday no announcement was made directly to the dollars of the mattress.
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For Buteler, none of the measures points directly to the dollars of the mattress.
“What was announced is that they will stop controlling or raising control levels, With what I am 100% in favor, it seems like a good measure. Many times they were ridiculous controls, which all they did were complicating the taxpayer’s life, ”he said.
Buteler remarked that, as it is not a formal laundering, “There is no guarantee that the taxpayer tomorrow does not have to face any inspection of the DGI or ark.” “There is no regulations on which to be based, all there is the word of three officials at a press conference, which for the law is not worth much,” he said in Dialogue with scope.
A similar look expressed Carlos Rodríguez, presidential ex -analysis, who said “Mattress dollars are still black.” In his opinion, the only thing that changed is that “Arca says he does not want to know if you are using them. But nothing prevents them from looking for you if you want and report. ”
LUIS CAPUTO ECONOMIC PROGRAM SUPPORT MESSAGES
Despite the questions, some analysts highlighted The deregulatory nature of the measures. “The market was released, Now we are free to move silver as we want and we are innocent until proven otherwise, ”said Di Stéfano, who recalled cases in which Citizens faced serious difficulties in entering dollars inherited or saved to the financial system.
In that same tone, the economist Fausto Spotorno He stressed that many of the restrictions that are being eliminated affected simple operations such as Personal trips or purchases: “Most of these operations are from people who had dollars saved under the mattress and who want to buy some passage to Brazil”
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For Spotorno, the measures open the doors “to black silver, not to the dirty silver”.
On the phrase “Your dollars, your decision”, mentioned by the presidential spokesman, explained: “If you have an expense that exceeds the income they will not be looking at you in detail where you took the money, because that possibly that money you already had it.” In this sense, he considered that libertarian management “Open the door to black silver, not dirty silver”differentiating the unst declared funds from those from crimes.
The need for legal support
One of the strengths of the analysis of government measures is the one that aims to reform requires the need for legal supportthat the ruling party has already confirmed that it will seek in Congress with the reform of two laws.
In this sense, the economist Federico Glusteinthe government’s announcement has a “double axis.” On the one hand, it seeks to install the perception that citizens are free to use their dollars as they wish, without having to account. On the other, it is intended to encourage the adoption of the dollar as usual currency in daily transactionsbeyond its role as a value reserve.
“It requires collective confidence, a social adoption of the currency for regular currency and not necessarily as a reserve of value, but also of a legal structure that validates these measures, ”he warned. According to his analysis, so far what there is is a “Deregulation of movements in pesos and some measures in that regard”but without a normative support that guarantees its continuity or legal certainty.
Source: Ambito