Thanks to another important deceleration in food, the May inflation could have perforated the 2%, according to the estimate of several CITY consultants after marking a 2.8% In April. If this projection is confirmed, it will be the first time since 2020 that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) It is located below that key threshold.
The lower price variation was linked to the dynamics of the food price which was calmer than in April, while fruit They marked a decline. They also influenced the exchange stability and the “Hot Sale”, They explained the consultants.
May inflation down
The dynamics of prices of food and drinks It remained relatively calm in May, without significant shocks in the meat of meats, which registered a moderate increase of 2.3%, According to Ecogo. To this was added a marked fruits disinflation, with a 6% decrease driven by improvement in climatic conditionsespecially the reduction of rain. They also showed some stability Panified, oils and fats, and dairy. As for drinks, alcoholics tended down, while non -alcoholic raised again.
“The Import tariff elimination and the Internal taxes For some specific products such as cell phones, air conditioners, etc. It also had a positive effect on the index, “they said from Ecogo
From the consultant who drives Marina Dal Poggettothey projected an inflation of 1.9% in May, thus breaking the threshold of 2% so wanted by the government.
In May, the discount event also positively influenced, “Hot Sale”which covers more and more items and led to the decline of numerous prices during the second week of the month and a recovery in the third. Although, “In some items the downward trend persistedas in home artifacts, electronic products and clothing. Thus, clothing, and equipment and maintenance of the home barely increased in the month; The lack of adjustment in the salary of the domestic service also favored this last item, “they said from C&T Advisors.
In turn, the education It was the second largest item, moved mainly for the cost of schools. While, Health It was located in third place, due to the increase in prepaid.
With detailed increases, C&T Advisors provides inflation to be located around 1.8%being the slightest since May 2020, in full pandemic.
Econometric, Meanwhile, measured a price increase of 1.9% in Maythat if confirmed would be the lowest inflation since 2020. “Our price survey (three GBA supermarkets and more than 30,000 prices) caught an increase of 1.5% in May in the food and drinks category, compared to the 2.9% recorded the INDEC the previous month,” they said.
For its part, from Fmya, led by economist Fernando Marull, they expect the IPC of May Found at 2%, And even, it could be a little below, in the 1.9%, while by June they project a 1.8%.
In turn, from Creebba, that measures the Bahía Blanca IPChe estimated that inflation showed a variation of the 1.6%, Below what was registered in April when it was 2.5% (-0.9 pp). With this result, the interannual variation of the Buenos Aires city was 41.9% and the annual accumulated reached 12.1%.
“During the month of May, in Bahía Blanca the greatest increase at the Chapters level was in various goods and services, which registered a 3.9%growth as a consequence of variations in dressing articles (5.0%), cigarettes and tobacco (3.7%) and disposable dresser items (3.5%),” they said from the consultant.
It followed in importance, the variation of health With a variation of 2.6%, Tractioned by 4.8% increases in doctors and dentists, 2.2% in prepaid and auxiliary services, 1.8% in medicines and 1.4% in elements for first aid.
Source: Ambito
