There is a general election at the end of September. Looking at the outcome of the vote, a survey now shows that more people want the Union to lead a coalition.
According to a survey by Infratest dimap, a growing number of Germans would like a Union-led government after the general election.
When asked who should lead the next government, 38 percent voted for the CDU / CSU in the Germany trend for the ARD “Morgenmagazin” surveyed by the institute. That is 8 percentage points more than in the previous month. 16 percent want an SPD-led cabinet, one percentage point less than in May. A coalition led by the Greens is also in favor of 16 percent, a minus of 5 percentage points. 29 percent cannot or do not want to choose any of the three options.
63 percent of the FDP supporters therefore prefer an alliance led by the Union. The supporters of the left rely more on an SPD-led government (36 percent) than on a leadership among the Greens (28 percent). A good half of AfD supporters (51 percent) do not want any of the three options. As expected, the supporters of the Union (96 percent), SPD (80 percent) and Greens (86 percent) rely on their own party with large majorities.
There was hardly any movement on the Sunday question. The Union comes in the survey unchanged at 28 percent. The Greens and the SPD each increase by one point to 21 and 15 percent respectively. The AfD would still vote for 12 percent of those surveyed. The FDP and the Left each lose one point and could currently expect 11 and 6 percent respectively.
Election polls are generally always fraught with uncertainty. Among other things, declining party ties and increasingly short-term voting decisions make it more difficult for opinion research institutes to weight the data collected. The institute gives a statistical margin of error of 2 to 3 percentage points. In principle, surveys only reflect the opinion at the time of the survey and are not a prognosis for the outcome of the election.
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