Confidence in Javier Milei’s government collapsed: it fell 14.8% in September

The fall in employment and the strong recession The crisis that is hitting the country, combined with the continued increase in prices, is not giving Argentines any respite and its effect is negatively reflected in the image of the national administration, which is contracting monthly.

He Government Confidence Index (GCI)prepared by the School of Government of the University From Tella Since November 2001, it has shown a strong decrease of 14.8% compared to August and currently, is located at 2.16 points. The retraction occurred at the five points that measure the ICG.

Confidence in Javier Milei’s government has plummeted

The largest contraction recorded in September was in the index of “Efficiency in the administration of public expenditure”with a fall of 18% to 2.03 points. It then continued “Overall evaluation of the Government” with -16.7% to 1.83 points, “Concern for the general interest” with -15.7% to 1.81 points; “Honesty of officials” (-15.7%, 2.40 points) and “Ability to solve the country’s problems” (2.74 points, -9.5%).

“The September measurement of Milei’s administration registers the lowest level of the confidence index since his government began”the report says. The 14.8% drop represents “the sharpest fall in management”, which translates into a break with the stability of the ICG. However, in interannual terms, the index had a positive variation of 109.3%.

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Confidence in the Government is far from the historical level

The survey ICG history shows that, despite the fact that eight years have passed, The current level of confidence is 14.6% lower than the September 2016 measurementin the first year of the government of Mauricio Macri. In addition, it is 4.6% lower than the measurement of September 2020, at the beginning of the management of Alberto Fernandez.

Likewise, the difference between the maximum and minimum value of ICG in the period from December 2023 to September 2024 is 0.7 points. “The range of the ICG, measured as the difference between the maximum and minimum values ​​in the first months of the Macri administration, starting in January until September, was 0.62 points“, they reported. This same range of difference in the management of the Frente de Todos was 1.07 points.

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The gender breakdown revealed that, as was recorded in July and August, “The September ICG was higher among men than among women.” Among the first, the fall of 5% to 2.54 points, while in the female segment plummeted by 25% to 1.81 points.

As for the age of those surveyed, as in August, the September index was higher in the segment comprising young people aged between 18 and 29, with a drop of 1% to 2.84 points. The segment made up of those over 50 years of age fell by 20% to 2.09 points. Among people aged 30 to 49, the decrease was 7%.

Regarding the geographical area, as in August, the September ICG registered its highest value among those residing in the interior: 2.22 points, with a significant negative variation of 18%. Among those residing in CABA it fell 16% (to 2.14 points) and residents of GBA down 7%.

Another aspect that the ICG analyses has to do with economic prospects. In September, as in previous months, it was “considerably higher” among those who believe that the economic situation will improve within a year: it stood at 3.87 points, with a 8% decreaseAmong those who believe it will remain the same, the value fell 5% to 2.26 points, while among those who believe it will worsen it fell 4% to 0.51 points.

Javier Milei President of the Argentine Nation

Mariano Fuchila

Javier Milei’s image continues to decline

Last week, a survey conducted by the consulting firm Zuban Cordoba reported a new Milei’s government’s image declines and an increase in distrust regarding the image of the President due to the decrease in its credibility.

The study analyzed the reaction of respondents to ten phrases spoken by Milei in recent times. As a result, they claim that it is given “a striking phenomenon” in which “People believe that many of the things the president has said recently are lies.”

As in previous studies, the opinion poll asked respondents about their approval of Milei’s government. The results show that 57.3% disapprove of the national management, while 42.3% have a positive opinion.

From the study carried out at the beginning of September, it can be inferred that increase in disapproval of management from 43.5% in December to 57.3% this month, with slight improvements in February, April and July and subsequent falls. The decline in the image recorded at the beginning of September occurred in a context in which the President decreed the veto of the increase in pensions, prior to ratification by Congress.