A few hours after elections 2024, he Wide Front and the coalition are in a scenario of parity, in which the runoff would be disputed Yamandú Orsi and Álvaro Delgado, according to the diffusion of the latest surveys.
In this context, the possibility of the FA obtaining the parliamentary majority in the Senate, since it could reach 15 representatives and, if it wins in the second round, add the current candidate for vice president Carolina Cosse as president of the Upper House.
The possibility of a parliamentary majority for the Frente Amplio
This possibility was considered in the survey of Factum, which attributes a voting intention to the FA of 45.5%, which was carried out by telephone to 900 people between the 16th and 22nd of this month.
Behind them would appear the National Party, with 25.1%; he Colorado Party (15%), the Open Town Hall (4.1%), Sovereign Identity (2.9%), the Independent Party (2.5%), Popular Unity (0.7%, other parties (0.6%) and the blank vote, with 3.6%.
Thus, the FA would obtain 15 seats in the Senate, the PN between 8 and 9, the PC between 4 and 5, CA would reach 1 and both the PI and IS of Gustavo Salle. In Deputies, the 99 seats would be awarded between 47 and 48 to the FA; 26 or 27 to the PN; 15 or 16 to the PC; 4 for CA and the PI; between 2 and 3 for IS; and one or none for UP. Meanwhile, the PERI would not retain the seat, nor would the Constitutional Environmentalist Party, Avanzar Republicano and Por los Necessaries enter.
As to Consulting Teams, The survey carried out combining in-person and telephone methodologies between the 8th and the 22nd of this month, revealed a high level of undecided people, reaching 11.5%. In that scenario, the FA would reach 41.1%, although with the projection of those who did not define their vote, it could reach 45.8%.
In parallel, the coalition would reach 39.9% with the sum of parties, which could reach 46.8% with the projection of undecided. Specifically, the National Party would obtain 20.2%, the Colorado Party 16.1%, the Independent Party 2%, Identidad Soberana 1.9%, Cabildo Abierto 1.6%, the PERI 0.9 % and 0.7% other parties, with 3.7% saying they would vote blank or annulled.
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Meanwhile, the survey released tonight by Consultants Option, with telephone methodology and 1,218 cases between the 17th and 23rd of this month, ratified the parity scenario, in which the FA and the coalition would tie at 45%, with 6% for the non-aligned parties and 4% that would vote blank or void.
In this way, the survey found that the FA is at its highest point in the electoral cycle, while it is positioned well in the Senate, with 15 seats compared to 14 for the CR, while the remaining would go to IS. In Deputies, The projection shows about 48 for the FA, 25 for the PN, 17 for the PC, 4 for CA and IS and one for the PI.
In turn, in a possible runoff, Orsi would lead Delgado by 7 points (48 to 41%), with 6% voting blank and 5% undecided.
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Finally, in the survey presented on Tuesday by Figure, carried out between the 11th and the 20th of this month to 1,000 people by telephone, the voting intention of the FA is 44%, against 43% of the ruling party, a product of 23% of the PN, 15% of the PC, 3 % of CA and 2% of the PI. In addition, IS would add 2%, others 1% and blank 2%.
To this was added a projection of the undecided, who represent 8%, based on daily tracking with the same technique. In that case, Orsi would obtain 46%, against 25% for Delgado, 16% for Ojeda, 3% for Guido Manini Ríos, while so much Pablo Mieres, like Salle, like the sum of other parties, 2% each.
Source: Ambito
I am an author and journalist who has worked in the entertainment industry for over a decade. I currently work as a news editor at a major news website, and my focus is on covering the latest trends in entertainment. I also write occasional pieces for other outlets, and have authored two books about the entertainment industry.
