One of the surveys that the city follows the most anticipates the price for the dollar this year and next and what is coming in terms of inflation and growth.
With the beginning of the new year, the consulting firms make their projections for 2025 regarding inflation and the dollar, after a year in which the Government focused on controlling these two variables and a survey that surveys 40 investment banks and trading agencies financial anticipated that The official exchange rate will reach $1,403 in Decemberwhile by 2026 it could be trading at $1,170.
Meanwhile, for the parallel dollar this new FocusEconomics report projected that it will reach $1,406 at the end of 2025 and They expect it to end 2026 at $1,706. While they anticipated that the Argentine economy “should expand above the average in Latin America” during the next year.
On the other hand, the report highlights that the triumph of donald trump in the United States would be essential for Argentina to achieve “accelerate talks with the International Monetary Fund (IMF).” That will be key for reserves and to control the exchange front.
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Inflation 2025
Regarding inflation, FocusEconomis points out that it has been declining for months, although it still maintains one of the highest levels in the region, but highlights that “controlled depreciation of the currency, fiscal restriction and a stricter comparison base have helped control” that variable in recent months.
Going forward, they specified that these same factors should help maintain the deceleration and anticipated that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) will increase only 35.6% in 2025while they expect it to reach a cumulative level of 22.4% by the end of 2026.
economic activity
Finally, with regard to economic activity, the report noted that should expand above the average in Latin America and anticipated that “lThe recovery of real wages, a greater provision of credit and recent liberalizing reforms likely supported the economy in the third quarter, although fiscal austerity remained a burden.”
“Our consensus is that there will be greater quarter-on-quarter growth in the fourth quarter, although the economy will continue to be smaller than a year ago,” indicated those surveyed and predicted that economic activity will grow by 4% in 2025, above the 3.9% in 2024. Meanwhile, for 2026, they estimated a growth in 3.5%.
Source: Ambito
I am an author and journalist who has worked in the entertainment industry for over a decade. I currently work as a news editor at a major news website, and my focus is on covering the latest trends in entertainment. I also write occasional pieces for other outlets, and have authored two books about the entertainment industry.
