The “normal” would have been to expect a flat and boring choice, that the “incunabent”, Eric Adams, won primary school or, where appropriate, that we saw the return of Andrew Cuomo, who commands the city for more than 10 years as a Democratic candidate to preside over New York City.
“Normally” this only -wag the Democratic primary- would suffice to ensure that Mamdani will be the city’s mandamás. From Rudi Giuliani, 1994-2001, the city does not choose a Republican mayor (Michael Bloomberg, 2001-13 was associated with the Republicans, held Democratic policies, declaring an independent in 2007) and before we have to go to John Lindsay, 1966-73, who in his second term was struck to the Democrats.
This time we have as additional, the brutal rejection that New Yorks exhibit against Donald Trump. Of the average of the last 7 surveys carried out (quinnipac; civiqs; AP-Norc; Yougov/Economist; Mornign Consult; Emereson College; Siena College) The President receives a “thumbs above” from between 25%-30%of citizens and a “thumbs below” of 65%-70%, which guarantees that any candidate “esponsorized” -Curtis sliwa? – Take those to lose.
Curtis Silwa, founder of Elos Angeles Guardians.webp
“Today is not our night,” Cuomo declared yesterday against Brutal 43.5% to 36.3% that Mamdani took out, after calling him to congratulate him, forgetting all the horrible things he had said and the dirty campaign he had launched against his rival. “He has made a very good and really cunning campaign of great impact” tonight is his night. He deserves it. He won. ”
JPG result
As we said yesterday, the city has undergone a brutal social and demographic change, and concentrate on the accusations of anti -Semitism, to achieve the support of a particular group and a multimillionaire treasure with which to finance its campaign, when people were concerned about other things, it was not a good strategy.
Mamdani instead was played more for weaving alliances with the other candidates, and promising people, what people wanted to promise him.
Mamdani and Lander.avif
Beyond the back Trump gave him to aim his verbal cannons against Israel – legitimizing, even unintentionally, the anti -ionist criticisms – again the pollsters erred very fierce and the trainers who were closer to the truth were more fierce.
“We have given permission to the city to believe again,” “I commit to you that we will rebuild this great city, not in my image, without the image of each New York that has only known the fight. In our New York, the power belongs to the people.” Thus Mamdani started his speech.
promises supermarkets.jpg
Leaving aside the criticisms that its purely socialist vision can deserve, the reality is that, at least for those who visit the city once a year, New York is filthy and the feeling of insecurity in many areas leads us to what we live in the 70’s.
Perhaps the first effect of this victory is the one that will have on the Democratic Estament of the entire country, a party that after the defeat last year is still aimed: what we have is a young man (33 years A clear socialist tendency, governing one of the three main cities in the country.
fear community.jpg
Something to be confused here is that their voters were not black and poor (that due to the high costs they have been moving outside the city, changing the traditional base of the Democratic electorate), but white young people from the most gentrified areas of the city, who formed the nucleus of the 50,000 volunteers who were door by door convincing the electorate (as we advanced, there were 5% more voters than in 2021, marking a record since 1989), to which the Asians joined – especially in Queens – who had their first candidate with Asian offspring, and a part of the most wealthy Latin electorate.
Mandani
If the energy and enthusiasm of the voters would serve something, we would have no doubts, but the reality is that it is very difficult to predict whether the very likely administration will be successful or not.
Yesterday we talk about the fears of the Jewish population in New York, but there is perhaps a more important problem.
Margo-Catsimatidis-John-Catsimatidis-Attend-93270090.webp
Before knowing the results, Billonario John Catsimatidis, owner of the iconic Gristedes supermarket chain stated that “if New York City becomes socialist” /Mamdani wins “we could consider closing our supermarkets and selling the business”, “we have other businesses. Thank God, we have other businesses.” “This blachable that we move our headquarters to New Jersey. Why not?” “We will have four years of peace”:
are fled.jpg
For Bill Ackerman, one of the largest billionaires in the city “If Mamdani comes to be the Alcade in New York, we will see how New York’s businesses escape … just take that a handful of very successful people leave to say the city tax base” (according to Forbes, there are 110 billionaires residing in the city).
Kathy Wylde terrified.jpg
Along the same line was Kathryn Wylde, CEO and president of the Partnership for New York, the main contact organization between Billonarians who inhabit the city, public good organizations and the government (among other things have built more than 40.00 low -cost homes). Faced with how the New York business community feels in front of a eventual Mamdani victory, he replied briefly: “terrified.”
Millonartios.jpg
Beyond the threats, which are valid, the reality is that the richest remain more than 182 days in the city -why they do not pay there -and those who are residents, have long been moving (in 2019 the city had 72 resident billionaires, were 65 in 2022, 62 in 2023 and less than 60 at the end of last year). If California’s experience serves something, it is true that part of the “Business” would retire, but this would not be enough to make the city tremble
The biggest problem that Mamdani faces today remains Cuomo, who beyond his sample of “political correctness”, by granting election, is analyzing to take advantage of all these fears, to present himself in November as an independent candidate taking advantage of his Democratic base and adding the vote of the most fearful independents and republicans.
Source: Ambito
