Became 226 with today’s Wednesday covid– Patients reported in intensive care and 2,873 in general wards, the point estimates for next week are 183 and 2,106, respectively. The seven-day incidence should go from the current 1,431 to 740.
Accordingly, a seven-day incidence in the range of 590 to 980 cases per 100,000 inhabitants (68 percent confidence interval) is expected for the last forecast day, with said 740 as the mean value, which is only meaningful in connection with the specified range of fluctuation. Although the development of new infections is still declining in all age groups, the peak in the older population groups occurred with a delay of around two weeks compared to the rest of the population, which explains the slowed down decline in hospital occupancy rates.
Specifically, the experts expect 161 to 209 in the intensive care unit (ICU) next Wednesday covid-Patients with a point estimate of 183. In the normal wards, 1,856 to 2,388 are non-life-threatening covid-Cases with inpatient care needs assumed. The point estimator is 2,106.
In two weeks after Easter it should be loud on Wednesday, April 20th forecast for the ICU patients it should be 109 to 165, with a point estimate of 134, for the normal wards it is assumed to be 1,124 to 1,794. The point estimate here is 1,420.
It was also noted that the decline in testing did not result in an increase in the positivity rate in any federal state, so it can be ruled out that the reduction in testing is the cause of the current decline in reported cases. The seven-day incidence is expected to drop from the current 1,431 to 740 over the course of a week, according to the point estimator, with a confidence interval of 594 to 978 possible. The projected new infections then range between 7,622 and 12,547 with a point estimate of 9,509 cases.
The lowest incidence is expected in Tyrol (360-590) and the highest incidence in Vienna (770-1,300). All forecasts were made on the basis of the data as of April 5th.
Source: Nachrichten
