Followed by the right Federico Gutierrez (26.7%), Petro marks above 42% since November 2021 when the firm Invamer made the first measurement for the next elections.
However, the leader of the left would not obtain more than 50% of the support he needs to avoid the runoff of June 19. In the second round, his most likely rival would be Gutiérrez, known as ‘Fico’.
The former mayor of Medellin has been gaining support among the traditional parties of Colombia. In February it registered 8.7% in the same survey, and in just three months it has risen 18 percentage points in the intention to vote.
In that possible scenario, the gap between the candidates would be closed, according to the survey, which consulted 2,000 people and has a margin of error of 2%.
In the second round, Petro would prevail with 52.4% against Gutiérrez (45.2%) and, if confirmed in the elections, it would be the first time that a leftist candidate has come to power in Colombia.
In a increasingly polarized campaignthe other candidates lag behind in preferences: in third place is the independent Rodolfo Hernandez (13.9%), followed by the centrist Sergio Fajardo (6.5%) and in the queue was the former presidential candidate and former hostage of the FARC, Ingrid Betancourt (0.5%).
Punished by the ravages of the pandemic, poverty (39%) and unemployment (12.7%), 73% of those surveyed stated that Colombia is on the “wrong way”.
They also rejected (65%) the management of the outgoing right-wing president’s government Ivan Duke, shaken by massive protests and the collapse of the economy. Duque is prevented by the Constitution from running for a second term.
62 years old, Petro has been a senator, mayor of Bogotá and for the third time a presidential candidate. He fought the State in the ranks of the M-19a nationalist guerrilla of urban origin who laid down his arms in 1990.
Gutiérrez, for his part, was mayor and councilor of Medellín and is the youngest of the candidates at 47 years old.
Petro promotes a package of reforms with an emphasis on protecting the environment and food production, while his right-wing rival presents himself as an alternative to the “populism” that he says the leftist embodies.
Source: Ambito
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