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How long will a weakened Biden be able to mobilize the West against Russia?

How long will a weakened Biden be able to mobilize the West against Russia?

“It doesn’t matter where I go in the world, but guess what? I tell them, ‘America is back.’ They look at me and say, ‘How long?'” Biden said recently at a union rally.

The question can also be posed as follows: How long will Joe Biden be able to animate the response to the Russian invasion of Ukraine, with massive arms deliveries and harsh economic sanctions?

This, while energy and food prices skyrocket around the worldas a consequence of the war, the sanctions against Russia and the Covid-19 pandemic.

“At some point, it will become a game of patience: what the Russians can put up with and what Europe is willing to put up with.”considered the president on Tuesday.

Also what the United States is willing to put up with. Ukraine now occupies much less space on local television news than the risk of a recession, inflation and the record price of gasoline.

And Biden pays with an anemic approval rating, around 40%. Many pollsters predict a slap in the face for democrats in midterm elections of November. If this happens, the president would lose his slim parliamentary majority and the question of his candidacy for the presidency in 2024 would be reconsidered, which, for the moment, is his declared ambition.

Until now, Biden has managed, on the international scene, to make these disappointments forget.

In Germany, he will make “concrete proposals to increase pressure on Russia,” a senior US official said on Wednesday, without elaborating.

The same source indicated that the issue of energy, whose cost is skyrocketing, will once again occupy “the center of discussions” at the G7a body that emerged in response to the oil crises of the 1970s.

But the atmosphere has changed since Biden’s last tour of Europe in March, in which Westerners reaffirmed their unity.

The conflict in Ukraine has taken another turn, concentrating in the east of the country and turning into a war of position.

“The initial triumphalismwhen we gave (the Ukrainian army) fairly cheap small arms and anti-tank equipment, it should lead to more solid and lasting support” at the military level, he stresses. Max Bergmanof the Center for Strategic and International Studies.

“It will be really difficult for the European armies. And it will be a challenge for the United States,” he adds.

Another challenge for Biden will be maintaining NATO’s new momentumand perhaps take advantage of his time in Madrid to unravel a complicated situation.

Indeed, Turkey is threatening to block Sweden and Finland from joining NATO, something Washington ardently defends.

However, a senior official assured that the White House is “optimistic” about the ability to find a consensus with Ankara.

On the other hand, Biden wants to mount a united front for his top strategic priority: China.

According to the White House, this will result in the adoption by NATO of a new “strategic concept” that mentions for the first time the challenges imposed by Beijing. Also, the G7 should issue warnings about China’s trade practices.

The major powers also want to launch an infrastructure “partnership” for developing countries awash with heavy Chinese investment.

Source: Ambito

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