The advisory board Gecko recommends facilitating the availability of drugs against the coronavirus. A current report, for example, speaks out in favor of simplifying the issue through e-prescriptions and direct issue to general practitioners. In addition, availability in pharmacies and care facilities should be sought. Vienna. Even before a possible illness, potential risk patients should be informed by their doctors and interactions with other medications should be clarified. For Gecko it is clear that a combination of vaccination and medication represents an optimal protection package against severe courses. Sufficient preparations should be available. Of the existing 487,465 treatment series, only 4.1 percent have been used to date.
As far as vaccinations are concerned, the fourth immunization does not appear to have any serious side effects. This was suggested by experiences from Israel. It is not yet possible to assess whether changing the vaccine after the fourth or subsequent vaccinations will result in changes in tolerability. It is clear that with the mRNA vaccines, the reaction to the second vaccination is most pronounced. Regarding vaccination in children, data show that the vaccination is better tolerated in the age group 5 to 11 than in the group of 12 to 17 years. So far, no cases of inflammation in the heart area have been observed in the younger ones.
If contacts are reduced, the shaft shifts backwards
There is still a lot of uncertainty as to when the current wave will peak. Two effects should ensure that there is initially a slowing down effect on the spread of infection. On the one hand, it’s about the beginning of the holiday season with increased travel activity, which in turn is related to the closure of schools and also emptying the offices. On the other hand, there is also the effect of behavioral changes due to greater risk awareness above a certain number of infections, around 20,000 new cases per day.
Depending on how pronounced these effects are, the time of the peak is estimated. If the contacts are greatly reduced on one’s own responsibility, the peak should not occur until the beginning of autumn. If this is the case to a lesser extent, the maximum values could be reached earlier. How high it goes is obviously difficult to estimate. The maximum value is assumed to have a wide range of 35,000 to 70,000 cases per day. 2,500 to 4,000 cases could end up in the normal wards of the hospitals, and 150 to 300 in the intensive care units.
Overall, Gecko believes that a stressful situation for the healthcare system comparable to the first omicron wave is plausible. This means the coming together of a large number of patients in need of normal care combined with mass quarantine in the population and thus the health workers.
Source: Nachrichten
