What do the polls say in Brazil?
Lula has 42.3% voter support against Bolsonaro’s 34.1% in the first round, compared to 40.6% and 32% in the previous CNT/MDA poll.
Lula would win an expected runoff against Bolsonaro by 50.1% of the vote to 38.8%, a narrower lead of 11.3% than his 14-point lead in May, the poll showed.
“The difference between the two main candidates, Lula and Bolsonaro, continues to fall,” said MDA director Marcelo Souza.
He assured that Bolsonaro’s rejection figures were 10 percentage points higher than those of his left-wing challenger, which could become a decisive factor in Lula’s favor in a second round.
Lula leads among those with incomes of up to two minimum wages, with schooling up to the ninth grade, Roman Catholics and in the poorest region of northeastern Brazil, according to the survey, conducted before Sunday’s first presidential debate.
Bolsonaro is favored by voters with incomes above two minimum wages, with secondary or higher education, evangelicals and in the South and Midwest regions, as well as from the Brazilian Amazon, according to the survey.
The poll said voters’ main concerns were high food and fuel prices, which Bolsonaro has tried to tackle, and unemployment, which Lula vows to reduce by boosting jobs in industry.
The MDA poll, commissioned by transport industry lobby group CNT, polled 2,002 voters between August 25-28 and has a margin of error of 2.2 percentage points in either direction.
Source: Ambito
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