He Broad Front (FA) would obtain the majority in the Senate in the next general elections in October, but not in the House of Representatives (Deputies), according to the latest survey by the consultancy firm Factum, which estimates the distribution of seats in the Parliament after the elections.
This Tuesday, the political scientist Oscar Bottinelli He assured VTV news that it is likely that the FA will obtain between 46 and 47 seats in the House of Representatives, and recalled that it is necessary to obtain 50 of the 99 seats to achieve an absolute majority.
On the side of the governing coalition, the National Party (PN) would obtain between 27 and 28 seats; Colorado Party (PC) between 15 and 16; Open Town Hall (AC) about 5; and the Independent Party (PI) 2 or 3 seats.
Among the other opposition parties, the party Sovereign Identity (ES) of the lawyer Gustavo Salle would achieve parliamentary representation with 1 seat, while the Popular Unity – Workers Front (UP-FT) and the Intransigent Radical Ecologist Party (PERI) range from 0 to 1 bank.
According to these projections, three seats remain up for grabs between the FA, the PN, the PC, the PI, the UP-FT and the PERI. The specialist recalled that both chambers are elected simultaneously and on the same ballot, and that the seats are distributed by party based on the votes obtained throughout the country.
Cosse would tip the balance in favor of the Broad Front in the Upper House
On the other hand, the FA would obtain between 14 and 15 senators in October; while the Republican Coalition (Multicolor Coalition) also. In the breakdown, the PN would get 8 or 9 senators, the PC about 5, CA 1, and the PI between 0 and 1.
According to Factum, it is likely that the formula Yamandú Orsi-Carolina Cosse wins with 50% of the votes in the possible runoff in November in an eventual confrontation with the white tandem Alvaro Delgado-Valeria Ripoll (46%), something that would tip the balance in favor of the FA with the entry of Cosse as vice president of the Republic and president of the Senate.
In this scenario, the FA would have between 15 and 16 seats, while only two would remain in dispute between the FA, the PN and the PI. On the side of the governing alliance, the PN would obtain between 8 and 9; the PC around 5; CA would have 1; and the PI between 0 and 1.
Source: Ambito
