Even with analysis of the remains of the more than 180 missiles launched, experts affirm that it would be Iran’s Fattah-1 and Kheybarshekan missilesboth with a range of about 1400 kilometers.
Iran’s missiles
Iran has said that both missiles have maneuverable warheads and use solid fuelwhich can make them difficult to defend and they can be launched at short notice.
“Shorter launch preparation means those missiles arrive all at once to further stress the defense,” he said. Jeffrey Lewisdirector of East Asia Nonproliferation Program in it Middlebury Institute of California.
“The [ojivas] “They can maneuver a little bit to complicate the assignment of interceptors, and maneuvering means they can hit more accurately to actually hit the targets after passing through them,” he added.
The April Attack
Fattah-1 missiles were used in April, defeated by the American and Israeli missile defenses. But most were Emad ballistic missiles of liquid fuel, with a failure rate of 50% and precision to hit a target of more than 1 km in diameter.
By contrast, Iran has stated that its most advanced ballistic missiles have a “probable circular error” of about 20 metersmeaning that half of all missiles fired at a target will fall within 20 meters of it.
These are “Iran’s most advanced ballistic missiles, capable of reaching Israel,” he stated. Fabian Hinzresearch associate for defense and military affairs at International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS).
Ankit Pandaof the Carnegie Endowment for International Peacebased in USAsaid comparisons with the April attacks would be difficult because they involve different weapons, attack structure and defenses.
For example, in the April attacks, drones and slow cruise missiles, which provided the defenders with more warning time.
“We have a different attack pattern…probably a system Arrow interceptor Israeli most spent, and the IRGC Aerospace Force opting for the apparent use of a greater number of more advanced and capable missiles,” he said, referring to the missile arm of the Iran’s Revolutionary Guards elite corps.
The damage
He Pentagon reported that two US Navy destroyers They fired about a dozen interceptors against Iranian ballistic missiles.
Reports of damage have been limited, and Israel initially reported no deaths as a result of Tuesday’s attack, while one man was killed in West Bank due to the fall of a missile.
Future attacks
Malcolm Davisanalyst Australian Strategic Policy Institutewarned that future attacks could be even more complex and use a even greater number of missiles.
“If the Iranians launch another much larger attack, more missiles are likely to get through, especially if the ballistic missile attacks are coordinated with cruise missile and drone attacks,” Davis said. “So I don’t think we’ve seen the full scale of the attack by any means.”.
Source: Ambito
