Amid the growing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, investors are looking for safe assets, promoting the prices of the dollar and gold up. The conflict, which has been seven days, has generated a Significant demand for these traditional shelter assets, while global markets cautiously observe possible developments.
He dollar It has been markedly strengthened, driven by the security demand in the face of the threat of a broader conflict in the region and the possible participation of the United States. This scenario has led investors to reconsider their positions, especially in risk -sensitive currencies. The Australian dollar and the New Zealand dollar have experienced falls, while emerging market currencies, such as the South Korean Won, have also been affected.
He gold, For its part, it has registered a modest rebound, reaching US $ 3374.54 the ounce. Analysts point out that, if the United States decides to get involved directly in the conflict, geopolitical bets could increase even more, benefiting the precious metal. “Gold has registered a modest rebound waiting for the next steps in the conflict between Israel and Iran,” said Tim Waterer, Market Analyst of KCM Trade.
Impact on the markets and reactions of the Fed
Risk aversion dominates market feelings, pressing risk -sensitive currencies and leading investors to seek refuge in safer assets. The United States Federal Reserve has maintained a cautious position, with President Jerome Powell warning of significant inflation due to tariffs imposed by the Trump administration.
Powell stressed that the cost of tariffs will fall on the final consumer, adding another layer of uncertainty to the already complex geopolitical situation. “The market anticipates two type cuts of 25 basic points this year, probably in September and December, but we believe that the September FOMC will be too early for the Fed to feel comfortable by cutting the types,” ING economists said in a note.
The oil situation
In parallel, Oil prices have experienced an increase due to air attacks between Iran and Israelwhich has generated fears of an interruption in the supply of crude. Kirill Dmitriev, head of the Sovereign Fund of Russia, suggested that Russia, the United States and Saudi Arabia could act together to stabilize oil markets if necessary.
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“There was an example when President Putin, President Trump and the heir prince Mohammed Bin Salmán played a key role in the stabilization of markets,” Dmitriev said. Although it is still early to talk about a concrete joint action, the precedent of 2020, when oil prices collapsed due to the Covid-19 pandemic, shows that a collaboration is possible.
Future perspectives
Global markets remain in a state of uncertainty, with investors attentive to any development in the conflict in the Middle East. The possible involvement of the United States and geopolitical tensions continue to be the main drivers of the demand for safe assets such as dollar and gold.
Meanwhile, analysts warn that the dynamics of events in the region will define how dramatic oil prices will be. “The events in the Middle East create the conditions for the price of oil to raise,” said Dmitriev, adding that this drastically reduces the possibility of new restrictions to the Russian energy sector.
The situation in the Middle East remains a key factor in global markets, with the dollar and gold benefiting from security demand, while oil remains volatile due to the possibility of supply interruptions. Investors and analysts will be attentive to any development in the next few days, seeking stability signs amid geopolitical uncertainty.
Source: Ambito
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