In this way, market analysts increased their expectations for devaluation of weight in front of the currency, after Second full month of the new flotation exchange regime between bands, and after Julio would start with an advance of $ 35 or 2.9% in the first four wheels of the month.
Indeed, the median dollar projections were $ 1,207 per dollar for the average of July, $ 25.50 more than in the previous REM. For the top 10 of analysts, the expected average nominal exchange rate for July is $ 1.201.
The REM, while so much, projects a slight exchange depreciation for this year, since the annual rise of the American ticket is slightly above the inflation prognosis for the same period, which is projected in 27% (for the estimate included in the 2026 budget, will be 22.7%).
According to the June REM, analysts project a path of moderate increases for the official dollar in the coming months, between 1.6% (September) and 2.2% (July). Thus, the median expectations places the exchange rate on average at $ 1,207 for July, $ 1,229 for August, $ 1,249 for September, $ 1,272 for October, $ 1,296 for November, and $ 1,324 for December.
Recall that, in mid -April, the Government announced a flexibility of the stocks and a new flotation exchange scheme, with an initial floor of $ 1,000 and a roof of $ 1,400, together with a monthly update of 1% of those values (below in the case of the lower level and up in the case of the band’s cap).
Dollar for 2025 (monthly average):
- Next 12 months: $ 1,392 (May 2026)
Source: Ambito
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