The official dollar falls for the first time in seven wheels this Tuesday and the Future market contracts replicate the trendalthough they already project a dollar much higher than the one foreseen in the Budget 2026. It is a marginal low since only so far in July went up $ 49.
The wholesale currency yield $ 10 (+0.8%) to the $ 1,254 After noting yesterday its greatest daily rise since the beginning of May. In last week, he accumulated an advance of $ 51 (+4.3%). In it National Bankon the other hand, the price also lowers $ 5 to the $ 1,275 for sale.
In turn, Futures of the dollar loosen and record generalized falls of up to 1.5%. For December, the market “price” a value of $ 1,430 per dollar, far from $ 1,229 which included the government in the Advance of the 2026 Budget Project.
The future dollar “Pricea” an advance of 6% in July. Andrés Reschini, of F2 financial solutions, He mentioned that while “this volatility is not the best news to sustain rapid disinflation, it does not mean the end of reduction in inflation.”
“Argentina is still missing to reach inflation levels such as those of the main countries of the region and on the way to that normalization there may be mountains, in fact there were and will continue. For this the market awaits the signals that result from the elections and the meanwhile it is logical that it is volatile,” the specialist analyzed.
The Blue dollar remains at $ 1,270 and the financial replica the officer’s trend and yield: the MEP is quoted at $ 1,261.49 and the CCL at $ 1,265,15.
Why does the dollar go up?
Although the liquidation at least at the beginning of July could be record, the official dollar continues to be pressed. In the local market, the pressure intensified after the US bank report JP Morgan which suggested taking profits and getting out of bets to “Carry Trade”.
From the International Front, Eric Paniaguapartner of Dracma Venture Capital Consulting, stressed that this Monday the dollar is “exacerbated” by him strengthening of the currency globallyproduct of the new duty that is promoting Donald Trump.
In that line, the economist Federico Glustein He mentioned again the collection of Aguinaldo, holidays of high and high medium sectors, as well as the dollarization of portfolios product of the elections of the province of Buenos Aires in September and the nationals in October as factors that continue to press on the US currency.
“In addition to this, the replacement of the withholdings generates a lower offer effect in the square while the exporters settled record the first semester of the year, that generates relative shortage and resequenting the market. Also the Import peak of wealth Mark the pulse in the Official dollar and drag other parallel contributions. The weights of the latest tenders that did not rolled 100%, were expectant and press the officer, “the economist analyzed.
Source: Ambito
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