Wall Street opened Monday with Mild rise and low volume, on a day that marks the start of an intense week for investors. To the growing tension in the International commercial negotiationsthe expectation is added for the next steps of the Federal Reserve (FED), which must define its monetary policy in the face of a context of economic deceleration and cross pressures from the Donald Trump government.
The market remains especially attentive to August 1 deadlineestablished by the US administration as a limit to close bilateral trade agreements before new reciprocal tariffs. The Secretary of Commerce, Howard Lutnickhe reaffirmed that it is a “Inamovible date”although he left open the possibility of continuing the conversations beyond that period.
“With the deadline closer and closer, the tariff factor will continue to condition the behavior of the bags,” they said from Link Securitieswhich warn that any reprisal measure of the European Union could lead to a Punctual commercial climb Between both blocks.
According to market sources, Trump evaluates apply minimum tariffs from 15% to 20% to European importswell above the 10% that Brussels were willing to accept. Although these figures remain below 30% that the former president had mentioned weeks ago, they could activate New retaliation measures by the European Commission.
From Bankinteranalysts consider it possible to be announced last moment agreementssince “an escalation does not benefit anyone” and the parties would still be negotiating to counterreloj to avoid an open commercial conflict that impacts global trade and stock market contributions.
Powell in the center of the scene
Another factor that conditions market humor is the figure of the president of the Federal Reserve, Jerome Powellwho will participate on Tuesday in a key symposium. His speech will be followed with a magnifying glass not only for his Definitions on monetary policybut also for implicit messages against the growing political pressures.
The most moderate wing of the Fed, with figures such as Christopher Wallerreiterated the need to evaluate A Low of Rats at the next meeting of the Monetary Policy Committee of July 29 and 30, in front of the Growing risks for growth and employment. Investors will seek clues about the Central Bank road map in a context of inflation contained but with economic slowdown signs.
Balances season: Big Tech arrive
In parallel, the Corporate Results Season It charges strength this week, with special attention to two members of the so -called “7 magnificent”: Tesla and Alphabetwhich will present their balances this Wednesday. The numbers of the great technological ones are expected to define the pulse of the Nasdaq and the rest of the market, which until now has shown a mixed behavior.
Out of Wall Street, theThe main European bags fall this Monday. The index Stoxx 600 yields 0.4%, like the German Dax (-0.10%) while the French CAC 40 yields 0.38% and British Ftse 100 falls 0.08%.
Among the outstanding companies, Ryanair presented solid results with a net profit more than duplicate Between April and June, thanks to the rebound in air rates and a favorable calendar per Holy Week. In contrast, Stellantis He anticipated one Net loss of 2.3 billion euros In the first semester of 2025, which pressed his actions in the Milan Stock Exchange.
Source: Ambito
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