The REM expects the official currency to be overheating more than $ 80 in August compared to the previous measurement and exceeds $ 1,300 on average. By the end of the year, meanwhile, it would exceed $ 1,400.
The projections of Official dollar made by the gurúes of the Survey of market expectations (REM) July that was published on Wednesday the Central Bank (BCRA) They are less optimistic After the jump of the end of July. They foresee that the official currency Recailient more than $ 80 in the face of previous measurement and overcome the $ 1,300 on average. By the end of the year, meanwhile, it would overcome the $ 1,400, which would imply a depreciation of weight.
Gurúes project an increase in $ 86 for the official dollar in front of the previous REM, with which the currency would be located in $ 1,315 on average. For the top 10 of analysts, the average nominal exchange rate expected for August will be $ 1,304.
By December 2025, the set of participants predicted a nominal value of $ 1,405, which yields an expected year -old variation of 37.6% (+7.9 pp regarding Previous rem). The figure is far from the first projections estimated by the Government for the preparation of the 2026 budget: It estimates that the nominal exchange rate will increase 20.4% per year, to $ 1,229 at the end of December.
In this way, I know projects an exchange depreciation for this year, since the annual rise of the American ticket (37.6%) It is located more than 10 points above the inflation forecast for the same periodwhich is projected in 27.3% (the estimate included in the 2026 budget will be 22.7%).
According to the June REM, analysts project a moderate increase path for the official dollar in the coming months, between 1.9% (September) and 2.4% (November).
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Dollar for 2025 (monthly average)
- August: $ 1,315 (+$ 86)
- September: $ 1,340 (+$ 90.90)
- October: $ 1,361 (+$ 89.40)
- November: $ 1,393 (+$ 96.70)
- December: $ 1,405 (+$ 81)
- Next 12 months: $ 1,522 (+$ 102.20)
Dollar in July: how did he go to the currency
He Retail dollar accumulated over July a jump of 14%. In a retail market, measuring the Central Bank (BCRA), crossed the $ 1,367.3.
In the segment of future dollaron the last day last month marked $ 1,406 for August, while By the end of the year, the “Price” market that the dollar reaches $ 1,525.
If the July 31 values are taken into account, The officer was 5.6% below the upper band of $ 1,451.5 (Remember that it is adjusted to a rhythm of 1% monthly) and 50.6% above the floor of the flotation band of $ 964.1 (It decreases at 1% monthly). And if the center of the band is taken to $ 1,208.7, the value was up at 13.6%.
Source: Ambito
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