He Official dollar It extends fall this Friday and Hilvana six wheels on a low thread, with the wholesaler drilling the strip of The $ 1,325although the other exchange rates recalculate their movements, in the middle of the rise in interest rates.
In the wholesale segment, the dollar yields $ 2 a $ 1,324.50 and in the last six wheels he accumulates a drop of $ 49.50. Meanwhile, in the average financial entities of the BCRA He did it $ 1,340.61 For sale, and in the BNA at $ 1,340. Thus, the Card or tourist dollarand the Savings dollar (either solidary), equivalent to the official retail dollar plus a surcharge of 30% deductible from the income tax, it is located in $ 1,742.
Among the parallels, the MEP dollar rises 0.2% to $ 1,331.01, while dollar counted with liquidation (CCL) 0.4% decoced $ 1,329.71. He dollar Blue, meanwhile, operates at $ 1,325according to a survey of Scope in the City caves.
The contracts of future dollar They operated with generalized falls. The “price” market that the wholesale exchange rate at the end of August It will be from $ 1,353.50 and that in December It will reach the $ 1,501.
The dollar finds calm, while returning the appetite for the “Carry”
Market sources stressed that the calm of the wholesaler responds to a continuity of appetite for the “Carry Trade”since operators perceive that rates remain high in real terms.
In that sense, the economist Pablo Ferrari highlighted in dialogue with Scope That the dollar accumulates an increase close to 5% at an intermencing level, not counting the peak of the end of July, where it closed with a variation of 14%. “Who sold dollars in the beak has more weights to re -enter the Carry Trade, but with higher rates”he stressed.
On the other hand, the economist said that the estimated fund flow indicates that the dollars that will enter the BCRA coffers will be less than those that will graduate, and that this will press the pressure of the dollar. “If the exchange rate rose 11% in three months, the BCRA would be forced to sell dollars”recalls Ferrari, who understands that some capitals could take advantage of “making rate until the end of September or early October”.
“If the amount of reservations used to quell the price increase was relevant to reservations, after the October elections there would be a new exchange jump”he pointed out.
The International gross reserves of the BCRA They fell on Thursday U $ 400 million and closed in u $ s41,741 million, drilling the key threshold of the U $ 42,000 million. Official sources of the agency did not give details about the decline in a wheel where the quotes did not fall.
In the last three wheels, international assets sank US $ 1,282 million After payment of interest to International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the drop in quotes. It is a decline of 65% of the last disbursement of the multilateral organism that was U $ 2,000 million.
For its part, the economist and CEO of Emerald Capital Elena Alonso expressed to This medium That the low exchange tension at the end of July also responds to the fact that from August 1 the lace and the BCRA “ran” to establish the rates generating a competition between banks.
“As there is a need for liquidity, the rates begin to increase. There are many people who prefer to stay in pesos and take advantage of this instead of running to buy dollarsThis helps the exchange rate stay stable and not rise, “Alonso said.
The hard setback of the Government in the Chamber of Deputies
At the legislative level, the government experienced one of the Hard parliamentary losses In the Chamber of Deputies when losing The 12 key votes They were held, in a marathon session that extended until dawn.
The ruling could not stop the approval of two high social impact laws (pediatric emergency and university financing), in addition to the rejection of five Decrees of necessity and urgency (DNU) and the site to commissions to deal with five other sensitive issues.
Source: Ambito
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