The Wall Street actions They are negotiating in historical maximums after growing around 10% so far this year. However, the financial market still includes a series of risks that could impact during the second half of this 2025 that has just begun.
Wall Street analyzes the commercial context and its impact on shares
First, are the Tariffs implemented by US President Donald Trump. While little by little, trade agreements with different countries are arising, the volatility of the Republican does not finish convincing analysts and investors, since the fear of changing the rules of the game is kept in mind.
“Trump tariffs continue to change day by day, sector and country Rodrigo GamarciFDI’s partner manager of heritage.
According to the Executive, an increase in interest rates by the Federal Reserve (FED) could affect the valuations of technological companiesthat have a high weighting in the main indices of Wall Street, such as the S&P 500.
Specifically, The great corporations linked to artificial intelligence (AI) would be beatensince they are going through a process of euphoria due to the expectation that the new technology could continue to grow in response to the improvement of the productivity it causes.
“Many analysts are starting to talk about a possible bubble similar to that of Puntocom, but the market does not stop climbing, especially in relation to artificial intelligence,” Gamarci said.
The eye is in the technical aspects
For its part, the financial consultant Mariano Pantanetti He explained that the great Wall Street banks, such as JP Morgan or Deutsche Bank, are closely observing the Inflation and consumer spending reportssince one variable rose and the other, consequently, fell, respectively.
“That is a negative indicator for the economy, ergo, negative for the market,” said the specialist, who later mentioned that the operators are also following the Relative Force Index (RSI, for its acronym in English), a metric that tries to interpret whether the market is overcompared or oversized.
“The relative force index of 14 sessions for the S&P 500 long -term is above 70 points. When it is above 70, what it does is mark a setback, that most banks place it between 8% and 15%,” said Pantanetti.
“This does not mean that there will be a market drop or a trend change. The trend is still upward, but all alert to a possible correction in the next three months. If this occurs and the trend is upward, it is a purchase opportunity,” he concluded.
Source: Ambito
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