After hitting an intraday record at $ 207 on November 11, the bill traded in a range of just $ 2 (between $ 199.50 and $ 200.50). This caused it to be surpassed by the CCL dollar (close to $ 220) and the MEP (just above $ 203), which accelerated their rises after the decision of the Central Bank (BCRA) to stop intervening in the stock market.
It should be remembered that in November the dollar Informal slowed down its upward trend, since it closed the month with an advance of $ 4 (+ 2%), after having climbed $ 11.50 (+ 6.2%) in October.
Also, so far in 2021 the parallel accumulates an appreciation of $ 34.50 (around 20%), well below the accumulated inflation of 2021, higher than 41%.
As for what may happen in December, the economist Federico Glustein, in dialogue with AmbitHe considered that “the blue dollar, if there is no strange movement, will remain close to the MEP price, which today both are around $ 200”.
“Having passed the elections where the blue seemed to grow at an accelerated rate and very far from MEP, at almost $ 30 of gap, the path of the blue seems to be more tied to stability with slight movements due to the demand of travelers, dollarization of bonuses and portfolios As a precaution. However, if there were any kind of movement in the economy that affects the expectations of the agents, it could go off again, as happened before the elections, “Glustein closed.
For his part, financial analyst Christian Buteler told Ambit that “the trend of free dollars is upward. The factors that can influence are inflation and issuance. Although in December you are approaching the holidays, I do not expect a flood of people traveling with this price of the dollar abroad. I don’t think there is exorbitant demand on this side. As long as there is an inflation of 3% per month the trend is up “.
Source From: Ambito
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