Those who flee Latin America, after causes such as violence or poverty, continue to see United States as the dream of a better life. The Republican had already anticipated that Mexico “is not going to sell a single car in the United States” if he wins the election after imposing high trade tariffs while the Democrat emphasized strengthen border security.
Donald Trump and his root cut
One dream that Donald Trump has promised is to cut immigration short, stating that the United States has become the “garbage can of the world.” The Republican promised to close bordersend birthright citizenship and undertake the “Largest deportation effort in US history” With the help of the US Army, National guard or a new deportation force.
It was also proposed to end reception programs such as the Temporary Protected Status (TPS) that in the last two years have benefited thousands of Venezuelans, Haitians, Nicaraguans and Cubans.
What they warn about Trump’s victory and immigration
Benjamin Gedan is program director for Wilson Center Latin America and affirms that a deportation campaign like the one proposed by Trump, along with other protectionist measures such as import tariffs, could cause “a decline in the United States.” Gedan warns that even this decline ““It would have a cascading impact.” for its business partners in Latin America.
“It is not clear on the scale that it would occur, but (…) it would have dramatic repercussions on the economies of Latin America and on the relations of the United States in the region,” adds Gedan. Above all, Central Americawhere remittances mean more than 30% of GDP for countries like El Salvador and Nicaraguaalthough the world’s largest recipient is Mexicowith about 3.5% of GDPaccording to a recent report by the rating agency Fitch Ratings.
Trump has a vision of international relations in which he thinks that “the United States should not have friends, but interests,” he tells AFP Eduardo Gamarraacademic of the Florida International University.
Kamala Harris and the border
Kamala Harris, since her vice presidency in the Biden administration, He promoted attacking the causes of migration and promised measures at the border. The Democratic candidate stated his intention for a bipartisan law that had the support of moderate Republicans in the Senate but that failed due to pressure from Trump.
The bill aimed to strengthen borders and resolve gaps in the asylum process. I also sought to give to the president more authority to close the passage when border crossings are high and restrict TPS, which allows immigrants temporary entry into the United States.
Illegal border crossings hit record levels during the Biden-Harris administration and they fell in recent months. Nearly 2 million migrants entered the United States through the border with Mexico, between 2021 and 2023. But only last year 1.1 million were deported and as of June of this year another 400,000 more, according to data from the organization USAFacts.
What would immigration policy be like if one or the other wins?
The anti-immigration policy would be “with Trump faster and with Harris more gradual”“, tells AFP the also academic of the University of Florida José Miguel Cruz. The situation in Latin America, whether it is going well or badly, “has a direct and rapid impact on the United States,” Gedan maintains.
But the number of people who risk their lives to cross the Darien jungle, among Colombia and Panamaon its route to the United States shows “the desperation of places like Venezuela, Ecuador, Haiti and other parts of the region,” says Gedan. “It’s hard to imagine that any kind of border policy in the United States would deter people from fleeing their land,” adds the expert.
Source: Ambito
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