The unpublished prominence that the governors had in 2024, in the center of the national discussion, appears diluted at the start of this year. Or, at least, reconfigured. Government’s forms in order, a slight economic rebound, the image of Javier Milei With high margins he led to the intensity of that belligerence.
The “things happened” that popularized Mauricio Macri It also has correlation now and in this precise axis. On the one hand, The leaders are not referenced in national leaders And then, they seek to shield their payments rather than participate in a national project. On the other hand, the arrival of La Libertad advances (lla) To all districts opened new discussions in terms of the formation of alliances, whose results are to be seen, although everything suggests that each province will have different closures. And, therefore, there will be no correspondence between one district and another.
The greatest atomization of the leaders regarding the scheme that was known is a letter in the manga of the Casa Rosada, where they prepare to negotiate hand in hand, in order to gain muscles in territories where LLA will make their debut. “The governors have no bosses. Peronists do not respond to Cristina, radicals do not respond to the National Committee, Nacho Torres (Chubut) and Frigerio (Entre Ríos) They do not obey Mauricio Macri, and many are ‘loose’ ”, is the analysis of Balcarce 50.” Except Kicillof and Pullaro, and up to there, “they added. The reference to Buenos Aires and Santa Fe is for the Line with Kirchner cystina (in extreme tension) and with Martín Lousteau that have, respectively, both leaders. Among the “loose”: Marcelo Orrego (San Juan) or Claudio Poggi (San Luis)who won in 2023 hugged Horacio Rodríguez Larreta but today they do not pay the PRO and assembled provincialist schemes away from the PJ.
An advantage when opening a direct window, without intermediation, for an electoral year where the government aims to end in December as the first minority in Congress, with around 80 will after the replacement of deputies. The Senate is more complex.
Las Leagues, in stand by
What remained of those Patagonian rebels who seemed to look for separatism just a year ago. The same question is worth together for the change, which had an survival in its “League of Governors”. It seems pulverized, although society between a radicalism sector with another of the PRO may have a revival in some region. On the other hand, the populous PJ leaders league He was decimated after the 2023 election, he took off more with the run of the management of Milei and the few who formed an opposition scrum remain silent in these times. The big north? Little and nothing about what he knew how to be in the period of Alberto Fernández. From the last great heterogeneous photo are weak traces: that of the unfeasible show of the May Pact.
“It’s hard to whistle to Milei if you are measuring 60 points in your province”They think of the National Government, where they are looking for agreements. The leaders meet with another logic, more linked to common interest than ideological. The center region that integrates Córdoba, Santa Fe and Entre Ríoskey in amplifying the agriculture claim for the decrease in retentions announced days ago; the Lithium or copper tableswhich has mining districts articulating policies and incentives together with Nation and companies. The most transversal dialogue today has only one point: alert about the budget.
“While we are not having too much flow of conversations, if the president insists on carrying a bad budget, he will unify criteria. We are evaluating these new measures that have to do with reducing taxes or withholdings. We must see what is the impact on the provinces, ”said a president close to Unión for the Homeland. “The truth that I understand that the zero deficit is trying to focus a lot on the provinces”he added.
In other districts they mentioned that while it is true that they lowered the tone, “it costs to solve the things we raise.” “They don’t solve one”was another question that sprouted. From a UP province they ratified that the bridge with the government is Santiago Caputoin addition to Catalan Lisandro Cabinet Vice Chiefon whom the functions of the extinct Ministry of Interior fell. “There are institutional links, but with few portfolios,” said a provincialist president. The districts are still looking for funds in a complex context. In a province I mentioned, by case, the Greater demand in the public health systemfrom those who stopped paying the prepaid. “There are no resources to sustain it, any previous equation breaks,” they said.
The cards are considering. This weekend, Torres and Frigerio announced casualties of provincial taxes, in line with the request of Nation. Winks to Lla y Gambeteo to Mauricio Macri, who has a bid with Milei for the terms and conditions of an eventual alliance.
The Peronists ran from the scene. “First, internal problems here in the province, which absorb you and lead you to say ‘let’s preserve here'”. The second point was the climbing of the internal between Kicillof and La Cámpora. Nobody wants to be tied to that dispute.
Regarding the preservation of the local, not only the Peronists, but also radical and provincialists took off the dates of the local elections, a tendency that will be majority. They sought to separate as much as possible. In Santa Fe, according to Pullaro, April 13 there will be a step for councilors, mayors and communal presidents, in addition to general elections to designate the constituents who will modify the Magna Carta. The generals will be in July. Also, in May it will be the turn of Chaco, San Luis and Salta. As indicatedJujuy also plans to unfold and in Mendoza Alfredo Cornejo still did not define. To maintain the separation of dates indicated by the law, in the Cuyano district it could be voted only in 2026.
Who are unfolding challenging Milei? Not necessarily. The thesis is that Lla is not interested in this stage to populate provincial legislatures. It is even estimated that in some districts it may not present lists for the premises (yes for nationals) not to show premature defeats in the hands of governors. That is, there may be non -interference agreements on local issues in exchange for negotiations for the national election. Maybe, Jorge Macri He did bother Lla with the separation of Buenos Aires dates. Anyway, as in the rest of the cases, the instinct of preservation of the small payment prevailed, so that other arranged ones interfere. In the case of the city, the milei vs. battle Macri.
Uncertain alliances
Until 2023 the discussion in the previous electoral was similar in all districts. Is Peronism united? Together for the change, all the provinces are formed, who heads? The appearance of complexizes the entire system. The alliances scheme is in see.
No one rules out anything. The company with the PRO, the total break or agreements in certain provinces is on the table. Where you have less leaders, Lla could reach agreements with radicalism sectors or even with Peronist roots governors. Other unknowns are focused on what dialoguist leaders will do. Can, in case, Osvaldo Jaldo, Gustavo Sáenz or Raúl Jalil dictate the UP lists in your provinces? The PJ under Cristina’s command seems less permeable to risk names that end on the other side of the sidewalk.
Of course, the districts that choose senators have a special focus: CABA, Chaco, Entre Ríos, Neuquén, Río Negro, Salta, Santiago del Estero and Tierra del Fuego. Some of them are governors by provincialisms, places where the ruling party believes to be able to negotiate better. However, some of these stamps have national game. “An agreement is not convenient, because in fact the first to leave is going to put two senators and the one who leaves second one. Who would agree, among whom. It would be resigning the first place, which is the one that enters any of the cases, ”they said from a provincial seal.
In Lla, they showed a decision to present candidates for governor in the two districts that renew that position this year: Santiago del Estero and Corrientes. Meanwhile, in the first case, they are almost impossible to give a batacazo in the lands of the Civic Front of Gerardo Zamora, with whom nevertheless activate negotiation ties, there is some more enthusiasm in Corrientes: the radical Gustavo Valdés has no clear successor and Peronism It has few figures. Could the experonist Carlos “Camau” Espínola, a national senator of UP to the ruling, the candidate of Lla? Nor do they rule it out in the pink.
Source: Ambito
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