Clean file: a symbolic triumph for the government, but with gray horizon in the Senate

The case of Clean filewhich aims to prevent those persons with sentences from crimes against public administration from being candidate for elective positions, it is perhaps more complex. Here the triumph of the ruling is symbolic: A sample of strength and domain of the lower house Before a Peronism that walks the stumbles in Parliament, and that of Yapa will allow, in the electoral year, to propose as the force that fights against corruption. A flag to polarize with Kirchnerism.

It happens that, in rigor, In the government they rule out that the project can prosper in the Senatewhere the domain of Union for the Homeland (UP) It is overwhelming: it has 34 benches over 72. It is discounted that the block will unify criteria, since they understand that the text, as is written, is an attempt to remove from the court Cristina Kirchnerwho was convicted last year in the second instance in the road cause. Difficulties to reach 37 votes are foreseen, since As it is an electoral law, an aggravated majority is required. That is, abstentions or absences will complicate the ruling party to reach that number.

The opinion of Peronism, one of the six that reached deputies, stipulated that the blockade to apply to be governed for those who had a firm conviction, that is, exhausted the instance of the instance of the Supreme Court. He also asked to expand the list of crimes to money laundering and smuggling. One more step to the one raised by the libertarian text.

While LLA agreed to modify the articles at the request of the dialogue opposition, that point remained unalterable. Yes left aside the so -called “Petri clause” (in reference to the Minister of Defense), which put terms of validity to sentences depending on whether electoral or non -electoral years. Previously, the opinion expressed that there could not be elections who had received a second sentence before December 31 of the year before the elections.

Thus, at the request of the dialoguist blocks, article 1 of the opinion was modified and the deadline extended, adapting to the electoral calendar. According to the new text, they will not be able to apply “When the confirmation of the conviction is produced prior to the beginning of the term established in article 25 of the National Electoral Code”. The presentation of the padron is made 180 days before the election. In the case of legislative 2025, planned for October, April 29 would be the “Deadline” to block a candidacy through a second -instance judicial ruling.

The relationship of forces in the Upper House It will make the ruling stretch the times, and there are doubts about whether the project (unlike the step that will be discussed next week) will be discussed in the Senate during the extraordinary ones. “They do not give the times, the opinion is not reached”they trusted from lla to Scopesince it was not called the debate in commissions.

There is even a color fact: if they wanted to accelerate, by the Javier Milei’s trip to the United StatesVictoria Villarruel could not preside over a session next week. Except for the Bloooper of the decomposed telephone between the Casa Rosada and its office, as happened on the day of the displacement of Edgardo Kueider.

In the midst of those tangles, it does not seem that the greatest efforts of the government are put in that project. Since the PRO initiative stopped in November, the feeling that the ruling party prefers Cristina Kirchner in front. In addition, they assume that it would be to give him the argument of the proscription. He said it in December, explicitly, the chief of Cabinet Guillermo Francos. In Kirchnerism, however, they distrust that hypothesis.

Could something have changed since then? Maybe, the Decision of the Casa Rosada to go to the ring to Axel Kicilloflike the antagonist. A question that is floating, but that in that case is less than the one regarding the real wills at the time of vote. Therefore, it may not be bad for the ruling party to settle for the victory (symbolic) of the Chamber of Deputies.