“In Argentina due to the volatility of global trade and also the closure of the agreement with the IMF, instability has been experienced in financial exchange rates. Many people believe there will be a devaluation Because there are several forces at play that generate uncertainty about the future of the system“He told this media Ortiz pietyChief economist of Wise Capital.
Official dollar: the four scenarios that Caputo has ahead
Precisely, for Ortiz the Minister of Economy has four scenarios ahead to decide what happens with the official exchange rate in the short term.
OFFICIAL DOLLAR: How long will the “Crawling Peg” 1%?
“I estimate that to the elections You could move towards a band system in search of continuing to consolidate the ordering of the economy, although in the future -at the same time towards the 2026 If the necessary political and economic stability conditions were met- it could lead to a freer flotation scheme “he said in dialogue with Scopethe economist Gustavo Ber.
In turn, the economist Amilcar Collante He also argued, in talk with this medium, what he thinks could happen with the current scheme and in which term: “The IMF always in his recipes asks the greatest possible exchange rate and a unique dollar. I understand what even the elections (more than anything for political costs for the ruling) the discussion can go through some modification of the Blend dollar. “
For collante, once the elections occurred in October, the government can decide to go to A flexible exchange rate But, for this expert, BCRA intervention will continue to “Avoid high volatility of the exchange rate.”
MEP, CCL and BLUE dollars: what perspectives are in the short term
For Gustavo Ber, to the extent that the external climate improves and details of the agreement with the IMF arrive, The $ 1,300 could act as a roof Waiting for definitions about the monetary and exchange regime in the future.
“The sliding was activated from the highest search for coverage and The authorities would not have intervened since the gap did not exceed 20%, a still limited and reasonable level that would not affect the disinflation process, “he added.
Finally, for that expert, the current levels of financial dollars are “adequate” for the current economic-financial scenario, and could be deflated towards $ 1,250 If internal and external positive signals are realized.
Source: Ambito
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