The yield of Tesla, between the collapse and the opportunity: after losing 50%, does a window open for investors?

Elon Musk He had promised that Tesla would grow again this year, after the company reported its first annual sales fall in 2024. However, everything indicates that the probability of that growth is increasingly lower, which raises the question among the shareholders, Buy, sell or maintain? Well this Yield lost more than 50% since its peak on December 17, 2024.

Persistent protests in several countries against the participation of the billionaire in the administration Trump And its proximity with ultra -right movements in Europe shook the image of a brand that, until recently, led the electric vehicle market. This reputational deterioration It was one of the factors behind the 13% drop in quarterly deliveries reported last Wednesdaythe weakest performance in almost three years, according to Reuters.

Now, both investors and analysts anticipate that Tesla will register a sales decrease again for 2025. Deutsche Bank He expects a 5% sales fall this year, by assuming a stepped launch of the anticipated cheaper model of Tesla. As they explained, the company will again prioritize delivery volumes over the margins, through attractive incentives and financial agreements.

For its part, analysts of Barclays They estimated that the first quarter deliveries figures “raise a challenging path even to achieve flat volumes in 2025 compared interannual.”

What is behind Tesla’s fall in the bag?

Last Thursday (strong fall of all markets), Tesla’s shares closed with a 5.5%drop, after marked oscillations the previous day after the announcement of higher tariffs by Trump and the publication of deliveries data. From its highest peak of U $ S88.54 In mid -December, the action accumulates a fall that exceeds 45%, although Musk remains the richest person in the world, according to Forbes magazine.

Matías MininniPortfolio Manager of Investment Ideas in Capital Balanzexplained in dialogue with Scope that Tesla’s global deliveries fell pronounced, affected by Musk’s polarizing image, both in the pre -elections in the United States.

Mininni also attributes the descent to the advances of rivals such as the China Byd and Volkswagenas well as the delays in the Model line and due to productive improvements.

However, the analyst indicated that “added to the fall in demand in China and Europe, Tesla continues to differentiate himself from the rest of the sector by his technological vision”, Which gives it an attraction in the midst of this strong correction, because if an investor considers that Tesla has a brilliant future, The action would be at the entrance price.

The impact of tariffs on Tesla

The imposition of import tariffs in the USA fully hits many transnational companies. Companies as known as Tesla and Apple import, from China and other countries in Asia, numerous components for the manufacture of their finished products.

Marcelo LezcanoPresident of CatalaxyGlobal investment agency, analyzed in a talk with this medium that, before a general policy of tariffsit is very likely that the margins of all these companies tend to decreaseto the detriment of products or companies that do not pay such levies.

Lezcano estimates that between 82% and 94% of the companies that are quoted in the United States Stock Exchange saw the value of their shares fall. “The most affected sectors are financial, energy and technologywhich adds an extra layer of uncertainty for the market as a whole, ”he says.

In this scenario, Lezcano raises in times of great stock market uncertainty and when great purchasing possibilities arise. “The strong casualties seen last week allow us to buy very attractive companies, in Catalaxia we concentrate on adding companies with net negative debt, value with a Price-To-Earnings Ratio (per) less than 10 and net margins greater than 10%.”

The expert recommends investors “which are already bought in value shares” maintain their positions and for those who have surpluses of liquidity “it is a good time to start buying more”. And finally: it suggests avoiding growing companies with very demanding value.

So, the fall in Las Sales de Tesla, added to the deterioration of your public image And the pressure of an increasingly strong competition, arouses a challenging scenario for the company in 2025. To this are added macroeconomic factors such as the impact of tariffs and political uncertainty in the United States, which affect not only Tesla but a large part of the technological market.

However, analysts consider these corrections They could open opportunities for long -term investorsin particular if the company manages to sustain its technological differential. In this context, the key to shareholders – and in particular for those who operate with Yields– It will be precisely to evaluate the balance between risk and recovery potential.