Cryptocurrencies They started June With a rebound that was left without fuel. Bitcoin (BTC), which last week lost about 5%, grows and approaches US $ 105,800. In contrast, Ethereum (eth) that started the day on low, reverses trend and exceeds US $ 2,600.
The Altcoins They quote disorders, with rises of up to 2.8%, such as Wbeth. Among the falls, the most significant is that of Tron (-0.7%).
For Nick Ruck, director of LVG Research, he said that macroeconomic uncertainty generates doubts among investors. “The lack of clarity around inflation, US business policies. The evolution of its economy is braking the alcist impulse in crypto. To this are added the geopolitical risks, which lead some to disarm positions in digital assets, ”he explained.
Even so, Ruck is confident in the long -term perspectives for the sector, highlighting The sustained income of institutional investors and new users. A vision shared by Kathy Qu, director of Research at Hashkey Cloud, who highlights that, despite global commercial tensions, sophisticated capitals continue to bet on crypto. “Especially in assets more compatible with the traditional financial system, such as BTC and XRP, where optimism around ETF continues to grow,” he said.
Bitcoin Consolida, Ethereum takes the lead: mixed signals in the technical analysis
The weekly report of BUENBIT He points out that the technical indicators offer signs found: “The MACD in the daily chart presents red bars below its neutral line, which suggests an underlying bearish bias, while the RSI, in 62 points and with ascending slope, maintains the possibility of additional rebounds.”
The document adds that the key support is identified at US $ 102.314, the upper limit of the Fair Value Gap that, if violated, could accelerate sales. However, “the recoil of volatility and green light so that the fiduciary of plans 401 (k) include cryptocurrencies puts on the screen Bitcoin as a long -term value reserve, although immediate enthusiasm has been moderate“, Analyze BUENBIT.
Ethereum perspective
In contrast to Bitcoin, Ethereum reached US $ 2,788 – his highest level since February 2025 – before correcting to US $ 2,551, and then falling on the closure of the week until. The ETH/BTC torque was appreciated about 6% from minimums, confirming that the market is increasingly valoring Ethereum’s capacity to attract novel use cases: DEFI, STAKING, Layer 2 Solutions and even artificial intelligence applications.
“A tangible catalyst was Sbet’s announcement about the treasury of Ethereumwhich, as we consider, marks an early domain change and could point out the beginning of phase 3 of the Crypto upward cycle, where Ethereum accelerate while Bitcoin stabilize. The Long/Short in derivatives exceeds 1 on our platform, which indicates, a significant buying bias towards ETH, “says Buenabit.
And he maintains: “We believe that current dynamics favors Ethereum In the short and medium term. The neutrality confirmed by the US Department of Labor to include cryptocurrencies in 401 (K) plans (Retirement Savings Plan sponsored by the employer who offers tax benefits to employees) opens the way to a progressive normalization of Bitcoin in institutional and retirement portfolios, but the rotation of capital towards active assets of greater potential performance gives Ethereum a structural impulse. “
Finally, the document analyzes: “We recommend contemplating a tactical overweight in ETH against BTC, with surveillance on psychological levels at US $ 3,000 for Ethereum and the support zone around US $ 102,000 – U $ s103,000 for Bitcoin. We will keep attentive monitoring of the on-chain metrics, to the institutional adoption news and the regulatory novelties that can rekindle the appetite by the king of cryptocurrencies. That is our favorite. “
What the market analyzes
On the political and economic level, The president of the United States, Donald Trump, lit new alarms by threatening to raise tariffs to Europe up to 50% if an agreement is not reached before July 9. In addition, he has accused China of breaching the bilateral pact reached in May, despite the tariff truce in force for 90 days between both countries.
Meanwhile, another concern front for markets is the rebound in the yields of American treasure bonds. According to CITI, this phenomenon, intensified after the presentation of Trump’s fiscal project, represents a central risk for bags. “The volatility in the fees can be transferred to the actions, affecting the valuations and reviving fears on the foreign demand of US assets,” warns the bank.
Investors also remain attentive to the economic data that arrive from the US. Mixed signals were known last week: The PCE index surprised with a decrease greater than expected, consumer confidence rebounded and inflation expectations decreased. However, the upward revision of the GDP of the first quarter was not enough to dissipate fears about possible economic contraction.
All eyes will be placed this week in the Official Employment Report of May, which is published on Friday. This data could be key for the Federal Reserve to define its next step in monetary policy, at a time when it is reluctant to cut interest rates. In addition, the president of the agency, Jerome Powell, will speak today and could offer clues about the direction that the Central Bank will take.
Finally, it begins June, a month that usually marks a turning point in the behavior of Bitcoin. Javier Molina, senior analyst of Etoro, highlights that historically the average performance of the BTC in this month is 6.95%, with positive results in 9 of the last 15 years. However, it also recorded significant falls of up to 40%.
“When June is upward, he usually anticipates a second half of the year very positive, as happened in 2011, 2016 and 2019. Instead, weak junia have been a prelude to complicated summers”Molina said. According to the analyst, this month fulfills a key cyclical function: it acts as a hinge between the intense activity of spring and the typical summer calm of July and August. “The slightest liquidity during the summer amplifies the movements of June, making it a fertile land for the most speculative investors,” he concluded.
Source: Ambito
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