Although el Bitcoin price It seems to have entered a phase of relative calm, the speculative activity around the star cryptoactive intensifies by leaps and bounds. BTC quote around US $ 105.0255, According to Binance, with a daily volume greater than US $ 47,000 million, Keeping the dominant asset of the ecosystem. The 0.7% drop in the day did not prevent the market from dividing between those who anticipate an upward break and those who warn about a possible correction.
On the other hand, the rest of the market operates with falls of up to 4% headed by Avalanche and Hedera in 2.7%.
On prediction platforms such as Polymarket, feeling is clearly bullish. The most volume bet that Bitcoin will reach US $120,000 before the end of 2025, with an implicit probability of 76%, three points above the level observed at the beginning of the month. The figure is backed by more than US $ 1,15 million in bets, reflecting a growing confidence between traders and speculators.
Other optimistic scenarios also gain traction: 58% probabilities for BTC to reach US $130,000, and 37% for US $150,000. Even objectives as ambitious as US $ 200,000 YU $ 250,000 appear in the predictions, although with lower probabilities, 16% and 7% respectively. The possibility that the price reaches a million dollars exists, but with just 2% of chances.
In contrast, bearish bets are more moderate. The possibility of seeing Bitcoin to go back to $ 70,000 has a 28% probability, while a drop at $ 50,000 has 13%. The extreme scenarios, such as a return to $ 20,000, have lost interest, with a volume of bets so low that it does not appear in the main records.
The technical analysis suggests an imminent break
From the graphic point of view, BTC is within a symmetrical triangle in the 2 -hour graph, a consolidation figure that usually anticipates sudden movements. While the long -term bias remains bullish, the market faces a possible rupture in the short term, although it is still uncertain if it will be upward.
At the moment, the environment is still favorable: Ethereum remains above $ 2,600, while Altcoins such as Solana, Dogecoin and XRP operate with daily profits of between 2% and 4%. Bitcoin’s dominance remains stable, a sign that investors still trust their leadership, although attentive to Movements in Altcoins.
BTC Bull Token, the new focus of speculative interest
He Optimism around BTC is also reflected in the presale of the BTC Bull Token ($ BTCBull), A new project that has captured the attention of retail investors in search of high returns. The initiative, which offers a 61% APY Staking rate, has already collected more than $ 6.8 million, leaving less than $ 1 million to reach its limit of $ 7.78 million before the next price increase.
The Token differs by being directly linked to Bitcoin’s performance, through two mechanisms: BTC Airdrops for Holders (with priority for presale buyers) and automatic tokens burning every time BTC rises $ 50,000, which reduces the circulating offer of $ BTCBull and aims to increase their value.
With the expectant market, Everything seems to depend on whether Bitcoin manages to sustain himself over $ 105,000. If bulls manage to maintain control, $ 120,000 could be closer than many believe.
Bitcoin awaits a catalyst to define its next movement
Carolina Gama, Bitget’s country manager in Argentina, indicates that Bitcoin continues in a consolidation phase, with the compressed price between key support and resistance areas. The range between the U4S106,000 YU $ s106,500 has become an important barrier, with a strong selling pressure and lack of sufficient buyer volume for a solid break. This behavior maintains a slightly bassist neutral bias in the very short term.
“The negative netflow in the exchanges, with more retreats than deposits, indicates a long -term accumulation posture by investors, which reflects structural confidence despite the clear lack of clear direction in the short term,” analyzes a range.
And add: “Technically, the BTC expects a catalyst to define its next movement. If you can overcome the US $ 106,500 with force and volume, you could quickly make your way to the US $ 108,000 – U $ S110,000. On the other hand, a new fall from that level could lead to the asset to try supports at US $ 104,000 and, if it is lost, between US $ 102,500 YU $ S100,000. “
Source: Ambito
I am a 24-year-old writer and journalist who has been working in the news industry for the past two years. I write primarily about market news, so if you’re looking for insights into what’s going on in the stock market or economic indicators, you’ve come to the right place. I also dabble in writing articles on lifestyle trends and pop culture news.
