Meanwhile, the initial impetus is gone and negotiations have stalled: neither candidate to join NATO is in a bind now. Sweden finds Turkish demands to antagonize Kurdish refugees in the Nordic country unacceptable. The specific argument goes through a technical question of law, avoidable if the Executive Branch of that country proposed it.
Public relations, like human rights, returned to the top of the agenda. Finland, he announced that he will wait for the entry of Sweden, effectively yielding to the initiative of his neighbor.
When the possibility of seeing Russian tanks in the parks of Helsinki or Stockholm was certain, the Kurds were a secondary topic. Now they are a central issue for both nations.
In this state of affairs, the Nordics do not advance with an understanding to enter the alliance, in a situation in which the Turkish vote is essential. Said in political language, they lost their fear of Putin.
In other words, they do not fear a dictatorship with nuclear weapons whose use depends on the calculations or wishes of a single person and that does not hesitate to send hundreds of thousands – or perhaps millions – to die for the conquest of a kilometer of land in eastern Ukraine. Let the paragraph above serve to illustrate the superficiality of the Nordics.
Meanwhile, France, Great Britain, Germany and the United States broke a tacit agreement with Moscow and began to supply armored vehicles. German Leopard 2 tanks are expected to meet the Russians in eastern Ukraine in the next act of war, something unthinkable until weeks ago. British Challenger 2s are already on the way, along with American Bradleys, German Marders and French AMXs.
This is another illustration about the loss of fear of Putin and Russia. And this is a global problem now, since Moscow has historically imposed its will through intimidation. During the Cold War and also during the conflicts she got involved in afterwards. Moscow’s most powerful weapon was not nuclear warheads or the Red Army, it was the identity of “bear” that it always had in negotiations, together with its maximalist negotiating tactic – and almost irrational, but effective.
If you lose your most important weapon, you only have to commit an act that restores fear in your rivals.
And that act is to demonstrate that several have nuclear weapons, but only one is capable of using them. Since 1945, weapons of this type have not been detonated as an act of war.
However, the options are narrowing for a wounded bear, after harsh military setbacks in his Ukrainian adventure, and -now- cornered.
Geopolitical analyst. Philosopher and lawyer specializing in anthropology from Temple University in Philadelphia. Author of Disillusionism (Ed. Planet).
Source: Ambito
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