The latest reports of the INTA and the Agricultural Risk Office showed in their forecasts the possibility of rains, which finally took shape more firmly starting on Sunday and are expected to continue during the beginning of this week.
The concern about the lack of rainfall (in some areas it has not rained for almost 4 years) is not only felt by those who have already invested a large amount of money in the purchase of inputs, but it is also felt by those who will have the responsibility of governing the country. for the next four years.
Until last Friday, the photo shown by the maps of water reserves prepared by the Agricultural Risk Office (ORA) and the Climate and Water Institute of INTA were of a continuity of the drought where only the southeast of Buenos Aires was excluded.
What happened in the last few hours brings relief and hope to everyone, because if one thing became clear in Argentina, it is that when the countryside does poorly, every corner of the country suffers.
The rains (which could still be recorded today in the central strip of the country) renew expectations in the agricultural sector and bring some calm for those who will try to cancel debts and regain financial breath once the heavy campaign has been faced.
In dialogue with Ámbito, The meteorologist Mauricio Saldivar assured that “The data indicate that we are in the process of a moderate to strong El Niño climate phenomenon in transition. “There is a 75% chance that this event will be strong and also a 90% chance that it will last until the end of summer.”
According to Saldivar, This phenomenon “begins in spring in the northeast of Argentina and then during the summer it extends to the coast and most of the core area.”
In agriculture, water needs are urgent, because there is a marked water deficit in a large part of the productive regions. The meteorologist also explained that “to reverse this situation we need around 120 to 150 millimeters to fall on the central strip, which runs from the province of Formosa to the south of the province of Buenos Aires and La Pampa, in the next 15 days.
Without a doubt, the expectation is placed on the rains of the last few hours. Regarding this point, the meteorologist Leonardo De Benedictis explained to Ambit that “it could be a substantial change in water conditions” but at the same time he warned that there is enormous concern about what is happening with temperatures, which when they drop excessively give way to the appearance of frost, with consequent productive damage. “If a rain front is generated and it remains recurrent, the risk of frost will decrease because the humidity will help a lot to curb thermal variability.”
Looking ahead, the outlook is optimistic. According to From Benedictis “The El Niño event is already installed. Towards November, December and January, above-normal rains are expected throughout the Pampas region and in much of the coast.”
This point was also highlighted Saldivar, indicating that in the coastal regions of the coast, problems can arise in the area of islands and in all the land located on the banks of the water courses since “from the month of December they will have to start removing the gained because the Paraná and Uruguay rivers will begin to see their flow increase during the summer until reaching the peak flood that will be in March.”
Source: Ambito
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