Elections in Uruguay: candidate from the Frente Amplio has a wide advantage over his rival from the National Party

Elections in Uruguay: candidate from the Frente Amplio has a wide advantage over his rival from the National Party

He Wide Front remains the most voted political force less than three weeks before the elections 2024 and Yamandu Orsi He is positioned as the candidate with the highest level of support, reaching 46%, according to a survey by Proyección Consultores.

In this way, Orsi consolidates the sympathies of the citizens and is more than 25 points ahead of his most immediate pursuer, the candidate of the National Party, Alvaro Delgado, which accumulates a vote intention of 20.2% and is located close to the candidate of the Colorado Party, Andrés Ojeda, who adds 15%.

Even, Projection Consultants make a projection of the undecided (includes blank and canceled votes), which reaches 9.6% and is the percentage that all political parties aspire to capture. Adding these forecasts to the electoral scenario, the left-wing force would reach a voting intention of 48.1%, against the 24.8% that the PN would add.

How each party would vote in the 2024 elections

When analyzing by political party, in addition to 46% of the FA, the National Party would lead the coalition, although with just over five points ahead of the Colorado Party, who will try to dispute that place at the polls.

Further away it appears Open Town Hall (AC), the force that drives Guido Manini Ríos, which would accumulate just 4%, a figure significantly lower than that achieved in its electoral debut in 2019, with a surprising 11.46%. In turn, the Independent Party (PI) of Pablo Mieres would reach 1.5%.

As for the rest of the matches, Sovereign Identity (IS) of Gustavo Salle would add 1.6%, while the sum of other parties would represent 1.7%, among which stand out Popular Assembly of Gonzalo Martínez (0.7%), the Environmental Constitutional Party (PCA) of Eduardo Lust (0.7%), the Intransigent Radical Ecological Party (PERI) of César Vega (0.3%), the Republican Advance Party of Martín Pérez Banchero (0.1%) and For Necessary Changes by Guillermo Franchi (0.1%).

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The projections for an eventual runoff

In the face of a possible runoffOrsi is ranked as a favorite, with a voting intention of 47.5%, compared to 32.9% for Delgado, who would be his eventual opponent. To this must be added a scenario with 9.9% of votes annulled and 9.7% of undecided votes, among whom women, those under 39 years of age and voters from minority forces predominate, the survey stated.

Finally, Proyección Consultores consulted about the largest differentials of Orsi vs. Delgadoand highlighted that citizens valued “closeness and honesty”, while, according to those consulted, two thirds (66.6%) think that “Uruguay needs to change course”, compared to 33% who believe it is necessary to continue on the same path.

Source: Ambito

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