new ones are celebrated elections in the United Stateswhich directly confront the Democrat Kamala Harris and the republican donald trump. This year, the votes appear to be indecisive and tense, with last-minute decisions.
While Trump concluded his term in 2021, Harris has been vice president since then, reflecting a deep polarization in the country. The world remains attentive to the resultss, since their interests are also at stake there. For this reason, neutrality is usually non-existent.
Elections in the United States: what to expect in Russia
In the case of the war between Ukraine and Russiathe difference between Harris and Trump is very marked. Given a Democratic victory, it is most likely that the policies regarding this conflict will continue to be the same as those that have been taken under the mandate of Joe Bidenand that the distance be maintained with some type of agreement.
The latter, was questioned on several occasions by their positioning, either by getting too involved, for some, or for not having done enough, for others. However, to a greater extent he knew how to show himself as an opponent of the Russian administration.
For this very reason, Putin mostly advocates a victory for Donald Trump before Harris. The Russian speculates that the former will insist more on a possible agreement to end the war, favoring Russia and leaving much of the disputed territory on their side.
The vision of Ukraine
In the Ukrainian case, the situation is exactly the opposite.since there they pray for a victory for Kamalla Harris. The thing is, if Trump wins and makes an agreement with Putin, Ukraine could be seriously harmed militarily and territorially. The fundamental support to stay in the fight would end
Furthermore, they do not see it possible that Volodymyr Zelensky can resist American pressure to end the war, prefers to maintain the supportive dialogue that it has maintained until now with Biden.
The only hope they have from Ukraine if the Democrats do not win is to remember that Trump approved, in 2019, the sale of Javelin anti-tank missiles, with which they could reinforce themselves.
What does the European Union prefer?
The vast majority ofEuropean leaders lean towards a victory for Kamala Harriswith Spanish Pedro Sanchez to the head. On the opposite side, that of support for Trump, the maximum exponent would be Viktor Orbán, the Prime Minister of Hungary.
It is that, since Europe, They maintain that in a Trump administration, the first order of business they would receive would be for all NATO members allocate 2% of their GDP to defense. To that budget, for example, Spain allocates 1.28%.
On the other hand, from the old continent they also feel that they must prepare for trade tariffs in the event of a Republican victory, which is why, for the most part, they opt for Kamala. Furthermore, they feel that Trump breaks the established international order with enormous danger.
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However, under the Netanyahu governmenta Harris administration would likely have less influence than a Trump administration would have over Zelensky in Ukraine.
Who does China choose?
From China they prefer that Kamala Harris emerge triumphantsince they would find it unpredictable what a Trump victory would generate. The thing is that, being a country that is committed to long-term planning, the unorthodox Republican hinders all that.
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Furthermore, Beijing knows that tariffs are coming Whoever wins, but a Harris administration, with its desire to be reasonable with all interlocutors, would be much better suited to Xi Jinping.
Israel’s position
Another country at war and very divided ideologically is Israel. There, in their own polarization, the most progressive sector prefers a victory for Harris, while the right implores Trump to win.
The Republican candidate is openly in favor of Benjamin Netanyahuand its opponents fear the hostilities that may arise from that alliance.
Instead, the Israeli right fears a Democratic victory, as this would put pressure on the Jewish state to end the war in the Gaza Strip, seek a two state solution with the Palestinians and potentially face a return of the US Embassy to Tel Aviv from Jerusalem.
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Reuters
Source: Ambito
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