Donald Trump and Argentina

Donald Trump and Argentina

The United States of America (USA) have a new president. And as the main power of the world, continental leader, and strategic ally without Equa non of Argentina, the development of its foreign policy will be relevant to our future.

Donald Trump The endogenous gaze has as an axis. Foreign policy, complementary, is expansive in terms of business, but contractive in relation to the military battles that you want to face. He ‘Drill Baby Drill’ domestic, should be harmoniously combined with the increase in trade and obtaining strategic natural resources. The acquisition of Greenland, and the control of the Panama Canal, were the first explosive statements around it.

Of course, for the achievement of its objectives, it is always better to have support. But not in terms of joint forms of inter-state economic growth and development. Rather, they must be ideological, cultural. Until religious. A blunt support for the simple fact of the US, the very ‘lighthouse of the world’. No rational questions. An explicit messianism. With me or ‘without all or nothing, as the ineffable Herminio Iglesias would say.

And there enters Argentina, under the alliance ‘Anti-Woke’ or ‘Anti Agenda-2030’. Regardless that the US is our third commercial partner of relevance, or the submission that implies indebtedness (which at this point in the history of our country seems eternal). A huge economic problem, totally ‘anti-libertarium’, which will only be morigue with a discursive that recalls us the deeply famous ‘carnal’ menemist relations.

In this sense, the big question would be: until when the US government, through the IMF, will allow Argentine refinancing? Will there be a free letter as in 2018? The actors are different, the situation is different.

Today there is an unnegotiable adjustment that is a ‘siren song’ for Washington’s ears, in addition to the previously mentioned ‘Brotherhood of Securities’, which is limited, within the purest realism, that Buenos Aires is a containment buffer against The ‘axis of the communist that stalks our region’ (which goes from Venezuela, Cuba and Nicaragua, backed by Russia, to the ‘most moderate’ Lula or Petro). But we really don’t know how far the support will come. So far, it is more tacit than explicit.

It is probably reduced to some benefit of marginal and low -cost dye, such as the improvement of market access conditions, where, for example, Argentina weighs different phytosanitary obstacles. But not much more.

What we can affirm is that in these times of bipolarity and exasperating bellicisms in our blessed world system, the dynamism of a more complex time leaves an open end. Of course, for our country; Because as Trump himself on Latin America himself said, “we don’t need them. They need us. ”

Let’s not forget that the US explains 8% of exports of goods in Argentina; which includes 31% of fuel exports, 62% aluminum and manufacturing, 24% wine and 19% of fruit and vegetable preparations. On the contrary, Argentina represents only 0.18% of the total imports of the US no better to steel and aluminum, which our country suffered during the first mandate of the Republican leader.

Therefore, it should be emphasized that the negative and solo voting of Argentina at the UN on issues ranging from indigenous rights or repudiation of digital violence against women and girls, leaving the agreements of Paris and of the World Health Organization (WHO), or the withdrawal of the Argentine Delegation of the Cop 29 Climate Summit, do not imply a greater relevance of Argentina in the US foreign policy of the US. Only a friendship from Common logics on how it is observed – and interpreted – the world.

To conclude, we do not have to forget that we are clearly facing an unequal and asymmetric relationship. In this sense, you have to be very careful about the way in which you work here. Just to cite a couple of examples, the idea of ​​withdrawing Argentina from Mercosur if it becomes an obstacle to closing a free trade agreement with the US, should be reflected more than once. Or, on the other hand, can anyone think that Argentina can reduce trade with China to get better with the US? Disseminate the SWAP and the investments of the Asian giant? Very unlikely.

The best thing we can do then, to avoid the randomness of the destination that, in terms of the international scenario, makes us always closer to that of being, is to have a clear and concise program of foreign policy.

It would not be necessary, at least in the short term, to create a new ‘manifest destination’, as our northern neighbors have done. But it would be relevant to carry out certain state policies that allow us to generate an autonomous, balanced and sustainable model to face the world.

To do this, we must be intelligent, pragmatic, understand what happens around us. And work for the common good of Argentines. But, above all, for those who need it most. Is it too much to ask?

Economist and Doctor of International Relations.

Source: Ambito

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